Official Met Office forecasts and observational data for London on August 15, 2026, converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C amid mostly sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and reduced humidity following the prior day’s 34°C peak. This aligned with broader cooling trends after a mid-August heat dome, placing the observed high squarely in the mid-20s range consistent with seasonal baselines and model consensus. Traders assigned 100% implied probability to 26°C because real-time verification from official stations matched these parameters with minimal uncertainty. Only a late surge in insolation, unforecast advection of warmer air, or measurement discrepancies at key sites like Heathrow could realistically shift the recorded maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 15 августа?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$176,924 Объем
$176,924 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$176,924 Объем
$176,924 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$3,481 Объем
No
21°C
$636 Объем
No
22°C
$1,461 Объем
No
23°C
$4,957 Объем
No
24°C
$16,673 Объем
No
25°C
$39,924 Объем
No
26°C
$32,006 Объем
Yes
27°C
$29,384 Объем
No
28°C
$17,081 Объем
No
29°C
$17,827 Объем
No
30°C or higher
$13,493 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and observational data for London on August 15, 2026, converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C amid mostly sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and reduced humidity following the prior day’s 34°C peak. This aligned with broader cooling trends after a mid-August heat dome, placing the observed high squarely in the mid-20s range consistent with seasonal baselines and model consensus. Traders assigned 100% implied probability to 26°C because real-time verification from official stations matched these parameters with minimal uncertainty. Only a late surge in insolation, unforecast advection of warmer air, or measurement discrepancies at key sites like Heathrow could realistically shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$176,924Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and observational data for London on August 15, 2026, converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C amid mostly sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and reduced humidity following the prior day’s 34°C peak. This aligned with broader cooling trends after a mid-August heat dome, placing the observed high squarely in the mid-20s range consistent with seasonal baselines and model consensus. Traders assigned 100% implied probability to 26°C because real-time verification from official stations matched these parameters with minimal uncertainty. Only a late surge in insolation, unforecast advection of warmer air, or measurement discrepancies at key sites like Heathrow could realistically shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$176,924Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official Met Office forecasts and observational data for London on August 15, 2026, converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C amid mostly sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and reduced humidity following the prior day’s 34°C peak. This aligned with broader cooling trends after a mid-August heat dome, placing the observed high squarely in the mid-20s range consistent with seasonal baselines and model consensus. Traders assigned 100% implied probability to 26°C because real-time verification from official stations matched these parameters with minimal uncertainty. Only a late surge in insolation, unforecast advection of warmer air, or measurement discrepancies at key sites like Heathrow could realistically shift the recorded maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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