Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a Shandong Meteorological Observatory high-temperature orange warning, issued August 1 and covering August 2–5, form the core driver of the market’s near-certain 36 °C-or-higher outcome. Official projections place northern Qingdao maxima at 37–39 °C, with isolated spots potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent high pressure, elevated humidity (50–80 %), and limited cloud cover. This aligns with regional model consensus and historical analogs for early-August heat events in the Shandong peninsula. Traders’ overwhelming positioning reflects the strength of these verified forecasts from authoritative monitoring agencies. Realistically, a sharp increase in onshore flow, unexpected convective cooling, or a station-specific measurement falling just below threshold could still alter the recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given current atmospheric setup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 5 августа?
36°C или выше 100.0%
26°C или ниже <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$33,448 Объем
$33,448 Объем
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
100%
36°C или выше 100.0%
26°C или ниже <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$33,448 Объем
$33,448 Объем
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a Shandong Meteorological Observatory high-temperature orange warning, issued August 1 and covering August 2–5, form the core driver of the market’s near-certain 36 °C-or-higher outcome. Official projections place northern Qingdao maxima at 37–39 °C, with isolated spots potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent high pressure, elevated humidity (50–80 %), and limited cloud cover. This aligns with regional model consensus and historical analogs for early-August heat events in the Shandong peninsula. Traders’ overwhelming positioning reflects the strength of these verified forecasts from authoritative monitoring agencies. Realistically, a sharp increase in onshore flow, unexpected convective cooling, or a station-specific measurement falling just below threshold could still alter the recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given current atmospheric setup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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