Recent forecast consensus from models and official monitoring agencies supports the market's 99.6% implied probability on a 24°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and suppressed surface heating on August 28. Current observations show temperatures holding in the low-to-mid 20s with minimal afternoon rise, consistent with a regional cooling pattern that has kept highs below 30°C. This positioning reflects trader confidence in the stable boundary layer conditions and model agreement on limited insolation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a shift in steering winds that allows greater solar heating before sunset, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 28 августа?
24°C 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and official monitoring agencies supports the market's 99.6% implied probability on a 24°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and suppressed surface heating on August 28. Current observations show temperatures holding in the low-to-mid 20s with minimal afternoon rise, consistent with a regional cooling pattern that has kept highs below 30°C. This positioning reflects trader confidence in the stable boundary layer conditions and model agreement on limited insolation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a shift in steering winds that allows greater solar heating before sunset, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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