Prominent megachurch pastor Adam Hamilton's April 30 entry into the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary has propelled trader consensus to an 86% implied probability of his nomination, fueled by reports of over $1 million raised in his campaign's first week—dwarfing Q1 fundraising from rivals like state Sen. Patrick Schmidt ($177,000 raised, $130,000 cash on hand) and retiree Sandy Spidel Neumann ($187,000 raised). As founding pastor of the nation's largest United Methodist congregation and a fifth-generation Kansan positioning as an independent-minded Democrat, Hamilton benefits from superior name recognition in the open August 4 primary featuring nine challengers, with no polls available and a June 1 filing deadline approaching. Lower odds for Schmidt and Neumann reflect their earlier but modest leads in pre-entry finance reports amid a fragmented field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАдам Хэмилтон 86%
Патрик Шмидт 4.3%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман 3.3%
Шарис Дэвидс 1.3%
$128,220 Объем
$128,220 Объем
Адам Хэмилтон
86%
Патрик Шмидт
4%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман
3%
Шарис Дэвидс
1%
Кристи Дэвис
1%
Кевин Лац
1%
Эрик Мюррей
<1%
Дэймон Андерсон
<1%
Майкл Соэтарт
<1%
Анна Парелкар
<1%
Джейсон Харт
<1%
Ноа Тейлор
<1%
Адам Хэмилтон 86%
Патрик Шмидт 4.3%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман 3.3%
Шарис Дэвидс 1.3%
$128,220 Объем
$128,220 Объем
Адам Хэмилтон
86%
Патрик Шмидт
4%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман
3%
Шарис Дэвидс
1%
Кристи Дэвис
1%
Кевин Лац
1%
Эрик Мюррей
<1%
Дэймон Андерсон
<1%
Майкл Соэтарт
<1%
Анна Парелкар
<1%
Джейсон Харт
<1%
Ноа Тейлор
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Prominent megachurch pastor Adam Hamilton's April 30 entry into the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary has propelled trader consensus to an 86% implied probability of his nomination, fueled by reports of over $1 million raised in his campaign's first week—dwarfing Q1 fundraising from rivals like state Sen. Patrick Schmidt ($177,000 raised, $130,000 cash on hand) and retiree Sandy Spidel Neumann ($187,000 raised). As founding pastor of the nation's largest United Methodist congregation and a fifth-generation Kansan positioning as an independent-minded Democrat, Hamilton benefits from superior name recognition in the open August 4 primary featuring nine challengers, with no polls available and a June 1 filing deadline approaching. Lower odds for Schmidt and Neumann reflect their earlier but modest leads in pre-entry finance reports amid a fragmented field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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