Forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies indicate stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, supporting a projected minimum near 7°C in central Buenos Aires stations. This aligns with late-August climatology where clear nights routinely produce lows several degrees below daytime averages of 16–18°C. The overwhelming 95.5% market-implied probability for 7°C reflects trader consensus on these conditions holding, with limited model spread. A warmer outcome could occur if urban heat island effects or revised observations push readings to 8–10°C, while colder readings below 6°C would require unexpected cloud clearance or stronger winds shifting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 28 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 28 августа?
7°C 96%
6°C 26%
4°C или ниже 4%
5°C <1%
$1,577 Объем
$1,577 Объем
28 авг. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
4%
5°C
1%
6°C
26%
7°C
96%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C или выше
<1%
7°C 96%
6°C 26%
4°C или ниже 4%
5°C <1%
$1,577 Объем
$1,577 Объем
28 авг. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
$149 Объем
4%
5°C
$29 Объем
1%
6°C
$35 Объем
26%
7°C
$533 Объем
96%
8°C
$296 Объем
<1%
9°C
$197 Объем
<1%
10°C
$104 Объем
<1%
11°C
$93 Объем
<1%
12°C
$55 Объем
<1%
13°C
$38 Объем
<1%
14°C или выше
$48 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies indicate stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, supporting a projected minimum near 7°C in central Buenos Aires stations. This aligns with late-August climatology where clear nights routinely produce lows several degrees below daytime averages of 16–18°C. The overwhelming 95.5% market-implied probability for 7°C reflects trader consensus on these conditions holding, with limited model spread. A warmer outcome could occur if urban heat island effects or revised observations push readings to 8–10°C, while colder readings below 6°C would require unexpected cloud clearance or stronger winds shifting patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Объем
$1,577Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies indicate stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, supporting a projected minimum near 7°C in central Buenos Aires stations. This aligns with late-August climatology where clear nights routinely produce lows several degrees below daytime averages of 16–18°C. The overwhelming 95.5% market-implied probability for 7°C reflects trader consensus on these conditions holding, with limited model spread. A warmer outcome could occur if urban heat island effects or revised observations push readings to 8–10°C, while colder readings below 6°C would require unexpected cloud clearance or stronger winds shifting patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,577Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies indicate stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, supporting a projected minimum near 7°C in central Buenos Aires stations. This aligns with late-August climatology where clear nights routinely produce lows several degrees below daytime averages of 16–18°C. The overwhelming 95.5% market-implied probability for 7°C reflects trader consensus on these conditions holding, with limited model spread. A warmer outcome could occur if urban heat island effects or revised observations push readings to 8–10°C, while colder readings below 6°C would require unexpected cloud clearance or stronger winds shifting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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