Forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a mild maritime air mass over southern Finland on September 2, with westerly to northwesterly winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the overnight low near the 11.5°C climatological average. Partly cloudy skies and dew points around 14°C should moderate temperature drops, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 12–15°C. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty from minor model differences in cloud cover and wind speed, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low probability for 10°C or below aligns with the absence of strong cold advection. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these estimates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хельсинки 2 сентября?
6°C or below 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
6°C or below
100%
7°C
2%
8°C
39%
9°C
24%
10°C
46%
11°C
32%
12°C
78%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C or higher
6%
6°C or below 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
6°C or below
100%
7°C
2%
8°C
39%
9°C
24%
10°C
46%
11°C
32%
12°C
78%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a mild maritime air mass over southern Finland on September 2, with westerly to northwesterly winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the overnight low near the 11.5°C climatological average. Partly cloudy skies and dew points around 14°C should moderate temperature drops, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 12–15°C. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty from minor model differences in cloud cover and wind speed, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low probability for 10°C or below aligns with the absence of strong cold advection. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these estimates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы