Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate unsettled conditions on August 30 driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to moderate daytime heating while maintaining high humidity (75–95%). This setup favors overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C, consistent with the 27–31°C daily range and recent model consensus showing limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover. Trader emphasis on 28°C and 27°C reflects uncertainty around exact timing of showers and localized variations, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below aligning with climatological baselines for late-August nights and the low likelihood of stronger cooling without clearer skies. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the coming hours will refine resolution thresholds for the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 30 августа?
28°C 77%
27°C 24%
26°C 7%
25°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
37%
28°C
59%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 77%
27°C 24%
26°C 7%
25°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$214 Объем
<1%
23°C
$532 Объем
<1%
24°C
$700 Объем
2%
25°C
$842 Объем
3%
26°C
$936 Объем
7%
27°C
$1,148 Объем
37%
28°C
$1,823 Объем
59%
29°C
$2,091 Объем
<1%
30°C
$176 Объем
<1%
31°C
$201 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$207 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate unsettled conditions on August 30 driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to moderate daytime heating while maintaining high humidity (75–95%). This setup favors overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C, consistent with the 27–31°C daily range and recent model consensus showing limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover. Trader emphasis on 28°C and 27°C reflects uncertainty around exact timing of showers and localized variations, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below aligning with climatological baselines for late-August nights and the low likelihood of stronger cooling without clearer skies. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the coming hours will refine resolution thresholds for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$8,872Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate unsettled conditions on August 30 driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to moderate daytime heating while maintaining high humidity (75–95%). This setup favors overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C, consistent with the 27–31°C daily range and recent model consensus showing limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover. Trader emphasis on 28°C and 27°C reflects uncertainty around exact timing of showers and localized variations, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below aligning with climatological baselines for late-August nights and the low likelihood of stronger cooling without clearer skies. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the coming hours will refine resolution thresholds for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$8,872Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate unsettled conditions on August 30 driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected to moderate daytime heating while maintaining high humidity (75–95%). This setup favors overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C, consistent with the 27–31°C daily range and recent model consensus showing limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover. Trader emphasis on 28°C and 27°C reflects uncertainty around exact timing of showers and localized variations, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below aligning with climatological baselines for late-August nights and the low likelihood of stronger cooling without clearer skies. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the coming hours will refine resolution thresholds for the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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