**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 29 reflects direct observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded an overnight low of 28°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and high humidity typical of the late-summer monsoon trough.** This outcome aligns with climatological norms for the period, when nighttime radiative cooling is limited by moisture and weak winds, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Forecast models and regional analyses consistently projected this range, with no significant cold-air intrusion or clearer skies to enable lower readings. The overwhelming market-implied probability near 100% underscores the reliability of official minimum-temperature thresholds once the day concludes. Only an unreported station anomaly or revised data release could realistically alter resolution, though such revisions are rare for established monitoring networks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 29 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 29 августа?
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,529 Объем
$24,529 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,529 Объем
$24,529 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$273 Объем
<1%
23°C
$209 Объем
<1%
24°C
$1,058 Объем
<1%
25°C
$3,312 Объем
<1%
26°C
$3,011 Объем
<1%
27°C
$2,372 Объем
1%
28°C
$10,137 Объем
100%
29°C
$3,258 Объем
<1%
30°C
$421 Объем
<1%
31°C
$238 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$249 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 29 reflects direct observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded an overnight low of 28°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and high humidity typical of the late-summer monsoon trough.**
This outcome aligns with climatological norms for the period, when nighttime radiative cooling is limited by moisture and weak winds, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Forecast models and regional analyses consistently projected this range, with no significant cold-air intrusion or clearer skies to enable lower readings. The overwhelming market-implied probability near 100% underscores the reliability of official minimum-temperature thresholds once the day concludes. Only an unreported station anomaly or revised data release could realistically alter resolution, though such revisions are rare for established monitoring networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$24,529Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 29 reflects direct observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded an overnight low of 28°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and high humidity typical of the late-summer monsoon trough.**
This outcome aligns with climatological norms for the period, when nighttime radiative cooling is limited by moisture and weak winds, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Forecast models and regional analyses consistently projected this range, with no significant cold-air intrusion or clearer skies to enable lower readings. The overwhelming market-implied probability near 100% underscores the reliability of official minimum-temperature thresholds once the day concludes. Only an unreported station anomaly or revised data release could realistically alter resolution, though such revisions are rare for established monitoring networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$24,529Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 29 reflects direct observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded an overnight low of 28°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and high humidity typical of the late-summer monsoon trough.** This outcome aligns with climatological norms for the period, when nighttime radiative cooling is limited by moisture and weak winds, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Forecast models and regional analyses consistently projected this range, with no significant cold-air intrusion or clearer skies to enable lower readings. The overwhelming market-implied probability near 100% underscores the reliability of official minimum-temperature thresholds once the day concludes. Only an unreported station anomaly or revised data release could realistically alter resolution, though such revisions are rare for established monitoring networks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы