Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum of 28°C on August 28, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.8% implied probability for that exact threshold. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds maintained elevated overnight readings well above seasonal norms, with urban heat island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Model forecasts issued days earlier aligned closely with the observed outcome, leaving minimal scope for downward revisions. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data corrections or instrument recalibrations by the observatory, both rare for routine minimum temperature reports.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 28 августа?
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,901 Объем
$19,901 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,901 Объем
$19,901 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum of 28°C on August 28, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.8% implied probability for that exact threshold. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds maintained elevated overnight readings well above seasonal norms, with urban heat island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Model forecasts issued days earlier aligned closely with the observed outcome, leaving minimal scope for downward revisions. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data corrections or instrument recalibrations by the observatory, both rare for routine minimum temperature reports.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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