**Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate an overnight minimum of 18°C for London on August 26, 2026, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Mild, humid conditions under variable cloud cover have limited radiational cooling overnight, with hourly guidance showing temperatures stabilizing near 18–20°C into the early morning. This aligns with numerical model consensus and historical late-August baselines for the region, where such values represent typical overnight lows absent stronger high-pressure subsidence. Upcoming evening and dawn observations could refine the exact minimum, but current guidance shows limited scope for deviation below 17°C or above 19°C without a rapid shift in steering patterns or clearing skies. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty range anchored in verified agency data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 26 августа?
18°C 99%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
15°C <1%
$11,378 Объем
$11,378 Объем
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
18°C 99%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
15°C <1%
$11,378 Объем
$11,378 Объем
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate an overnight minimum of 18°C for London on August 26, 2026, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Mild, humid conditions under variable cloud cover have limited radiational cooling overnight, with hourly guidance showing temperatures stabilizing near 18–20°C into the early morning. This aligns with numerical model consensus and historical late-August baselines for the region, where such values represent typical overnight lows absent stronger high-pressure subsidence. Upcoming evening and dawn observations could refine the exact minimum, but current guidance shows limited scope for deviation below 17°C or above 19°C without a rapid shift in steering patterns or clearing skies. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty range anchored in verified agency data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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