Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight minima near 17–19°C for London on August 27 amid a thundery low-pressure system tracking across southern England. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light southwesterly flow are limiting radiative cooling and preventing sharper drops that would favor 16°C or below. Trader consensus around 18–19°C reflects this mild maritime air mass and the low probability of clear skies or northerly advection in the final model runs before the 27th. Updated forecasts and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or shower timing remain the key variables that could nudge implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 27 августа?
19°C 39%
18°C 34%
20°C 14%
16°C 10%
13°C или ниже
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
10%
18°C
34%
19°C
39%
20°C
14%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C или выше
2%
19°C 39%
18°C 34%
20°C 14%
16°C 10%
13°C или ниже
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
10%
18°C
34%
19°C
39%
20°C
14%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight minima near 17–19°C for London on August 27 amid a thundery low-pressure system tracking across southern England. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light southwesterly flow are limiting radiative cooling and preventing sharper drops that would favor 16°C or below. Trader consensus around 18–19°C reflects this mild maritime air mass and the low probability of clear skies or northerly advection in the final model runs before the 27th. Updated forecasts and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or shower timing remain the key variables that could nudge implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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