Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and moderate winds that limit radiational cooling under the stable boundary layer. These conditions support minimum temperatures clustering near 17–19 °C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Ensemble spread remains modest because high pressure to the east maintains mild advection, while any clearer breaks could allow slightly stronger cooling toward 17 °C. Historical September minima average closer to 14–15 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates the floor; updated model runs ahead of the event will refine the precise low and resolution threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 3 сентября?
18°C 40%
19°C 35%
17°C 20%
20°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
8%
17°C
20%
18°C
40%
19°C
35%
20°C
10%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C или выше
2%
18°C 40%
19°C 35%
17°C 20%
20°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$5 Объем
2%
14°C
$5 Объем
2%
15°C
$45 Объем
6%
16°C
$5 Объем
8%
17°C
$0 Объем
20%
18°C
$300 Объем
40%
19°C
$180 Объем
35%
20°C
$22 Объем
10%
21°C
$0 Объем
2%
22°C
$5 Объем
2%
23°C или выше
$5 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and moderate winds that limit radiational cooling under the stable boundary layer. These conditions support minimum temperatures clustering near 17–19 °C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Ensemble spread remains modest because high pressure to the east maintains mild advection, while any clearer breaks could allow slightly stronger cooling toward 17 °C. Historical September minima average closer to 14–15 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates the floor; updated model runs ahead of the event will refine the precise low and resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$572Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and moderate winds that limit radiational cooling under the stable boundary layer. These conditions support minimum temperatures clustering near 17–19 °C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Ensemble spread remains modest because high pressure to the east maintains mild advection, while any clearer breaks could allow slightly stronger cooling toward 17 °C. Historical September minima average closer to 14–15 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates the floor; updated model runs ahead of the event will refine the precise low and resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$572Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and moderate winds that limit radiational cooling under the stable boundary layer. These conditions support minimum temperatures clustering near 17–19 °C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Ensemble spread remains modest because high pressure to the east maintains mild advection, while any clearer breaks could allow slightly stronger cooling toward 17 °C. Historical September minima average closer to 14–15 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates the floor; updated model runs ahead of the event will refine the precise low and resolution threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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