**Mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover are positioning the overnight low near 15–16 °C as the market favorite.** Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models shows a warm, humid air mass advecting across southern England on 2 September, with minimum temperatures held above the seasonal 12.7 °C average by limited radiative cooling and urban heat retention in London. Latest short-range runs indicate the thermometer is unlikely to fall below 14 °C or reach 17 °C, consistent with the 96.5 % combined probability on 15–16 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and the absence of clear-sky conditions that would allow sharper nocturnal drops.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 2 сентября?
16°C 57%
15°C 39%
17°C 8%
14°C 3.6%
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
39%
16°C
57%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
<1%
16°C 57%
15°C 39%
17°C 8%
14°C 3.6%
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
39%
16°C
57%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover are positioning the overnight low near 15–16 °C as the market favorite.** Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models shows a warm, humid air mass advecting across southern England on 2 September, with minimum temperatures held above the seasonal 12.7 °C average by limited radiative cooling and urban heat retention in London. Latest short-range runs indicate the thermometer is unlikely to fall below 14 °C or reach 17 °C, consistent with the 96.5 % combined probability on 15–16 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and the absence of clear-sky conditions that would allow sharper nocturnal drops.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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