**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum in Lucknow on September 20, 2026, at an 80% implied probability, driven by official India Meteorological Department forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies with light afternoon drizzle possible, high humidity around 74%, and limited radiative cooling under the late-monsoon regime, keeping the daily minimum in the 24–26°C range across Lucknow stations. Nearby IMD reports list minima of 24–26°C, aligning with climatological September baselines for the region. Model guidance shows minor spread between 24°C and 26°C depending on exact cloud cover and wind patterns overnight, which explains the secondary probabilities clustered around 23–24°C. Real-time IMD updates and airport observations through the night remain the key resolution inputs for this temperature market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лакхнау 20 сентября?
25°C 99.5%
23°C 94%
21°C или ниже 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$703 Объем
$703 Объем
21°C или ниже
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Да
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C или выше
Нет
25°C 99.5%
23°C 94%
21°C или ниже 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$703 Объем
$703 Объем
21°C или ниже
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Да
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum in Lucknow on September 20, 2026, at an 80% implied probability, driven by official India Meteorological Department forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies with light afternoon drizzle possible, high humidity around 74%, and limited radiative cooling under the late-monsoon regime, keeping the daily minimum in the 24–26°C range across Lucknow stations. Nearby IMD reports list minima of 24–26°C, aligning with climatological September baselines for the region. Model guidance shows minor spread between 24°C and 26°C depending on exact cloud cover and wind patterns overnight, which explains the secondary probabilities clustered around 23–24°C. Real-time IMD updates and airport observations through the night remain the key resolution inputs for this temperature market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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