Recent forecast models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 29 will likely range from 12–16°C, with market-implied probabilities reflecting tight clustering around 13–16°C amid model spread. Clearing skies after widespread thunderstorms on August 28 should enhance radiative cooling under lighter winds, allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently than during cloudy, turbulent conditions. Variations in exact minimums hinge on the timing of any remaining cloud cover, wind speeds around 5–10 km/h, and local humidity levels near 50–70%, which modulate heat loss. Official guidance from agencies like DWD shows consensus on a cool but not extreme night relative to August climatology (average low ~13°C), with traders weighing minor forecast revisions expected from updated model runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 29 августа?
15°C 47%
13°C 30%
14°C 28%
11°C 15%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
25%
12°C
13%
13°C
30%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 47%
13°C 30%
14°C 28%
11°C 15%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
25%
12°C
13%
13°C
30%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 29 will likely range from 12–16°C, with market-implied probabilities reflecting tight clustering around 13–16°C amid model spread. Clearing skies after widespread thunderstorms on August 28 should enhance radiative cooling under lighter winds, allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently than during cloudy, turbulent conditions. Variations in exact minimums hinge on the timing of any remaining cloud cover, wind speeds around 5–10 km/h, and local humidity levels near 50–70%, which modulate heat loss. Official guidance from agencies like DWD shows consensus on a cool but not extreme night relative to August climatology (average low ~13°C), with traders weighing minor forecast revisions expected from updated model runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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