Recent forecasts from multiple models project Wuhan’s overnight low on September 15 near 22–24 °C under increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological September averages of 21 °C. Trader consensus remains split because small differences in cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal moisture can shift the minimum by 2–4 °C, elevating probabilities for both sub-17 °C and 26 °C+ outcomes while centering implied odds near 21–23 °C. No major synoptic drivers such as typhoon remnants or strong cold-air outbreaks are currently indicated, leaving resolution dependent on the final 24-hour model runs and local observational adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 15 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 15 сентября?
16°C или ниже 61%
26°C или выше 61%
25°C 39%
21°C 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
61%
17°C
16%
18°C
18%
19°C
20%
20°C
22%
21°C
32%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
39%
26°C или выше
61%
16°C или ниже 61%
26°C или выше 61%
25°C 39%
21°C 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$10 Объем
61%
17°C
$10 Объем
16%
18°C
$10 Объем
18%
19°C
$0 Объем
20%
20°C
$0 Объем
22%
21°C
$0 Объем
32%
22°C
$0 Объем
22%
23°C
$0 Объем
22%
24°C
$0 Объем
22%
25°C
$10 Объем
39%
26°C или выше
$10 Объем
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project Wuhan’s overnight low on September 15 near 22–24 °C under increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological September averages of 21 °C. Trader consensus remains split because small differences in cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal moisture can shift the minimum by 2–4 °C, elevating probabilities for both sub-17 °C and 26 °C+ outcomes while centering implied odds near 21–23 °C. No major synoptic drivers such as typhoon remnants or strong cold-air outbreaks are currently indicated, leaving resolution dependent on the final 24-hour model runs and local observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Объем
$50Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project Wuhan’s overnight low on September 15 near 22–24 °C under increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological September averages of 21 °C. Trader consensus remains split because small differences in cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal moisture can shift the minimum by 2–4 °C, elevating probabilities for both sub-17 °C and 26 °C+ outcomes while centering implied odds near 21–23 °C. No major synoptic drivers such as typhoon remnants or strong cold-air outbreaks are currently indicated, leaving resolution dependent on the final 24-hour model runs and local observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$50Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models project Wuhan’s overnight low on September 15 near 22–24 °C under increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological September averages of 21 °C. Trader consensus remains split because small differences in cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal moisture can shift the minimum by 2–4 °C, elevating probabilities for both sub-17 °C and 26 °C+ outcomes while centering implied odds near 21–23 °C. No major synoptic drivers such as typhoon remnants or strong cold-air outbreaks are currently indicated, leaving resolution dependent on the final 24-hour model runs and local observational adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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