**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 10 lowest temperature reflects tight uncertainty between a 16°C low (54% implied probability) and 15°C or below (47.5%), with higher outcomes near zero.** Forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of roughly 16–17°C (61–63°F), driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer patches or slightly stronger winds could allow temperatures to dip to 15°C or lower in some areas, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat effects support a 16°C floor. This balance explains the near-even split: official guidance and ensemble outputs show minimal spread, but small variations in timing of clearing or local microclimates keep both outcomes viable. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past day, keeping the market tightly contested around these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чжэнчжоу 10 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чжэнчжоу 10 сентября?
16°C 99.5%
15°C или ниже 1.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,251 Объем
$3,251 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
Нет
16°C
Да
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C или выше
Нет
16°C 99.5%
15°C или ниже 1.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,251 Объем
$3,251 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$689 Объем
Нет
16°C
$172 Объем
Да
17°C
$2,181 Объем
Нет
18°C
$25 Объем
Нет
19°C
$25 Объем
Нет
20°C
$25 Объем
Нет
21°C
$25 Объем
Нет
22°C
$25 Объем
Нет
23°C
$25 Объем
Нет
24°C
$25 Объем
Нет
25°C или выше
$35 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 10 lowest temperature reflects tight uncertainty between a 16°C low (54% implied probability) and 15°C or below (47.5%), with higher outcomes near zero.**
Forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of roughly 16–17°C (61–63°F), driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer patches or slightly stronger winds could allow temperatures to dip to 15°C or lower in some areas, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat effects support a 16°C floor.
This balance explains the near-even split: official guidance and ensemble outputs show minimal spread, but small variations in timing of clearing or local microclimates keep both outcomes viable. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past day, keeping the market tightly contested around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$3,251Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 10 lowest temperature reflects tight uncertainty between a 16°C low (54% implied probability) and 15°C or below (47.5%), with higher outcomes near zero.**
Forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of roughly 16–17°C (61–63°F), driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer patches or slightly stronger winds could allow temperatures to dip to 15°C or lower in some areas, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat effects support a 16°C floor.
This balance explains the near-even split: official guidance and ensemble outputs show minimal spread, but small variations in timing of clearing or local microclimates keep both outcomes viable. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past day, keeping the market tightly contested around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,251Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 10 lowest temperature reflects tight uncertainty between a 16°C low (54% implied probability) and 15°C or below (47.5%), with higher outcomes near zero.** Forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of roughly 16–17°C (61–63°F), driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer patches or slightly stronger winds could allow temperatures to dip to 15°C or lower in some areas, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat effects support a 16°C floor. This balance explains the near-even split: official guidance and ensemble outputs show minimal spread, but small variations in timing of clearing or local microclimates keep both outcomes viable. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past day, keeping the market tightly contested around these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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