Recent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader sentiment for the 2026 annual outcome amid a divided distribution of market-implied odds. Weak Q1 GDP contraction and subdued growth forecasts below 1% have widened economic slack, supporting further disinflation, yet persistent core pressures around 4% and external risks from geopolitics and fiscal consolidation keep upside scenarios competitive. Banxico’s May cut to a 6.50% policy rate, likely concluding the easing cycle, and economist surveys projecting 3.9-4.35% reinforce the contest between sub-4% and higher bands, with no single outcome exceeding 27% implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено5,50%+ 28%
4,00% – 4,49% 22%
4,50% до 4,99% 13%
5,00% до 5,49% 6.9%
$42,353 Объем
$42,353 Объем
8 янв. 2027 г.
<2,50%
2%
2,50%–2,99%
23%
3,00% до 3,49%
1%
От 3,50% до 3,99%
5%
4,00% – 4,49%
22%
4,50% до 4,99%
17%
5,00% до 5,49%
7%
5,50%+
28%
5,50%+ 28%
4,00% – 4,49% 22%
4,50% до 4,99% 13%
5,00% до 5,49% 6.9%
$42,353 Объем
$42,353 Объем
8 янв. 2027 г.
<2,50%
$576 Объем
2%
2,50%–2,99%
$4,369 Объем
23%
3,00% до 3,49%
$26,029 Объем
1%
От 3,50% до 3,99%
$458 Объем
5%
4,00% – 4,49%
$669 Объем
22%
4,50% до 4,99%
$3,668 Объем
17%
5,00% до 5,49%
$1,486 Объем
7%
5,50%+
$5,099 Объем
28%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader sentiment for the 2026 annual outcome amid a divided distribution of market-implied odds. Weak Q1 GDP contraction and subdued growth forecasts below 1% have widened economic slack, supporting further disinflation, yet persistent core pressures around 4% and external risks from geopolitics and fiscal consolidation keep upside scenarios competitive. Banxico’s May cut to a 6.50% policy rate, likely concluding the easing cycle, and economist surveys projecting 3.9-4.35% reinforce the contest between sub-4% and higher bands, with no single outcome exceeding 27% implied probability.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Объем
$42,353Дата окончания
8 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader sentiment for the 2026 annual outcome amid a divided distribution of market-implied odds. Weak Q1 GDP contraction and subdued growth forecasts below 1% have widened economic slack, supporting further disinflation, yet persistent core pressures around 4% and external risks from geopolitics and fiscal consolidation keep upside scenarios competitive. Banxico’s May cut to a 6.50% policy rate, likely concluding the easing cycle, and economist surveys projecting 3.9-4.35% reinforce the contest between sub-4% and higher bands, with no single outcome exceeding 27% implied probability.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Объем
$42,353Дата окончания
8 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader sentiment for the 2026 annual outcome amid a divided distribution of market-implied odds. Weak Q1 GDP contraction and subdued growth forecasts below 1% have widened economic slack, supporting further disinflation, yet persistent core pressures around 4% and external risks from geopolitics and fiscal consolidation keep upside scenarios competitive. Banxico’s May cut to a 6.50% policy rate, likely concluding the easing cycle, and economist surveys projecting 3.9-4.35% reinforce the contest between sub-4% and higher bands, with no single outcome exceeding 27% implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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