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icon for Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?
Экономика·Глобальные тарифы

Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?

icon for Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?
Экономика·Глобальные тарифы

Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?

сент. 30

сент. 30

Без изменений 87%

Снижение 13%

Повышение 1.0%

Polymarket

$47,301 Объем

Без изменений 87%

Снижение 13%

Повышение 1.0%

Polymarket

$47,301 Объем

Повышение

$4,702 Объем

1%

Без изменений

$21,525 Объем

87%

Снижение

$21,074 Объем

13%

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year and five-year loan prime rates unchanged at 3.0% and 3.5% for 14 straight months through July 2026, aligning with the market's strong 86.5% pricing on no change by September 30. Recent data showing uneven domestic demand, subdued inflation outside energy pressures, resilient export performance, and weak loan growth have reinforced the central bank's preference for targeted liquidity tools and structural measures over broad benchmark adjustments. Economists' surveys indicate growing expectations of a full-year pause, with the next LPR fixing in late August offering limited scope for a shift absent sharp deterioration in indicators. Modest downside odds reflect contingency room for easing if property weakness or credit demand falters further before the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).

An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.

An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Объем
$47,301
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year and five-year loan prime rates unchanged at 3.0% and 3.5% for 14 straight months through July 2026, aligning with the market's strong 86.5% pricing on no change by September 30. Recent data showing uneven domestic demand, subdued inflation outside energy pressures, resilient export performance, and weak loan growth have reinforced the central bank's preference for targeted liquidity tools and structural measures over broad benchmark adjustments. Economists' surveys indicate growing expectations of a full-year pause, with the next LPR fixing in late August offering limited scope for a shift absent sharp deterioration in indicators. Modest downside odds reflect contingency room for easing if property weakness or credit demand falters further before the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).

An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.

An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Объем
$47,301
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.

Связанные

icon for Увеличит ли Резервный банк Южной Африки ставку репо после сентябрьского заседания?

Увеличит ли Резервный банк Южной Африки ставку репо после сентябрьского заседания?

52%
Да
icon for Объявит ли ЕЦБ о повышении на 25 б.п. на заседании в сентябре 2026 года?

Объявит ли ЕЦБ о повышении на 25 б.п. на заседании в сентябре 2026 года?

87%
Да
icon for Оставит ли Банк Канады целевую ставку овернайт без изменений на октябрьском объявлении о процентной ставке?

Оставит ли Банк Канады целевую ставку овернайт без изменений на октябрьском объявлении о процентной ставке?

89%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Без изменений» с 87%, за ним следует «Снижение» с 13%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 87¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 87%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $47.3K с момента запуска рынка Jun 30, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?» — «Без изменений» с 87%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 87%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Снижение» с 13%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.