Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out a public listing until then, allowing focus on private growth amid a frothy AI funding environment. The AI search engine's valuation reached $20 billion in its September 2025 round, raising $200 million, propelled by surging annual recurring revenue exceeding $450 million by early 2026, 100 million monthly active users, and enterprise deals leveraging agentic capabilities like Perplexity Computer. Mid-tier outcomes such as 50B–75B (12.7%) and 75B–100B (10.2%) capture optimism for scaled AI model integrations and user adoption, tempered by ongoing lawsuits from publishers like The New York Times; no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings have emerged to shift sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНедоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация
Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация
Нет IPO до 2028 года 51%
50–75 млрд 12.6%
75–100 млрд 9.5%
<20 млрд 6.5%
$139,856 Объем
$139,856 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<20 млрд
7%
20–30 млрд
4%
30–40 млрд
6%
40–50 млрд
13%
50–75 млрд
13%
75–100 млрд
10%
100 млрд+
6%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
51%
Нет IPO до 2028 года 51%
50–75 млрд 12.6%
75–100 млрд 9.5%
<20 млрд 6.5%
$139,856 Объем
$139,856 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<20 млрд
$4,474 Объем
7%
20–30 млрд
$5,889 Объем
4%
30–40 млрд
$4,389 Объем
6%
40–50 млрд
$4,192 Объем
13%
50–75 млрд
$6,236 Объем
13%
75–100 млрд
$3,386 Объем
10%
100 млрд+
$4,853 Объем
6%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
$106,438 Объем
51%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out a public listing until then, allowing focus on private growth amid a frothy AI funding environment. The AI search engine's valuation reached $20 billion in its September 2025 round, raising $200 million, propelled by surging annual recurring revenue exceeding $450 million by early 2026, 100 million monthly active users, and enterprise deals leveraging agentic capabilities like Perplexity Computer. Mid-tier outcomes such as 50B–75B (12.7%) and 75B–100B (10.2%) capture optimism for scaled AI model integrations and user adoption, tempered by ongoing lawsuits from publishers like The New York Times; no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings have emerged to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Объем
$139,856Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out a public listing until then, allowing focus on private growth amid a frothy AI funding environment. The AI search engine's valuation reached $20 billion in its September 2025 round, raising $200 million, propelled by surging annual recurring revenue exceeding $450 million by early 2026, 100 million monthly active users, and enterprise deals leveraging agentic capabilities like Perplexity Computer. Mid-tier outcomes such as 50B–75B (12.7%) and 75B–100B (10.2%) capture optimism for scaled AI model integrations and user adoption, tempered by ongoing lawsuits from publishers like The New York Times; no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings have emerged to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$139,856Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out a public listing until then, allowing focus on private growth amid a frothy AI funding environment. The AI search engine's valuation reached $20 billion in its September 2025 round, raising $200 million, propelled by surging annual recurring revenue exceeding $450 million by early 2026, 100 million monthly active users, and enterprise deals leveraging agentic capabilities like Perplexity Computer. Mid-tier outcomes such as 50B–75B (12.7%) and 75B–100B (10.2%) capture optimism for scaled AI model integrations and user adoption, tempered by ongoing lawsuits from publishers like The New York Times; no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings have emerged to shift sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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