Keiko Fujimori holds a projected narrow lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez with over 99% of ballots counted in Peru’s June 7 runoff, placing her on track for a 0–4% margin of victory. This positioning stems from her consistent strength in Lima and other urban centers, where remaining tallies under review are concentrated, outweighing Sánchez’s rural support in the south. The vote count has been protracted amid polarization, with both sides raising concerns over irregularities, though official projections and historical patterns favor Fujimori’s edge holding. Potential shifts could arise from successful challenges to disputed ballots, nullification appeals, or late procedural rulings by electoral authorities before the mid-July certification deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы?
2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы?
Fujimori 0–4% 99.4%
Sánchez 0–4% <1%
Fujimori 12%+ <1%
Fujimori 8–12% <1%
$1,109,913 Объем
$1,109,913 Объем
7 июн. 2026 г.
Fujimori 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 8–12%
<1%
Fujimori 4–8%
<1%
Fujimori 0–4%
99%
Sánchez 0–4%
<1%
Sánchez 4–8%
<1%
Sánchez 8–12%
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 0–4% 99.4%
Sánchez 0–4% <1%
Fujimori 12%+ <1%
Fujimori 8–12% <1%
$1,109,913 Объем
$1,109,913 Объем
7 июн. 2026 г.
Fujimori 12%+
$92,625 Объем
<1%
Fujimori 8–12%
$60,549 Объем
<1%
Fujimori 4–8%
$158,092 Объем
<1%
Fujimori 0–4%
$322,750 Объем
99%
Sánchez 0–4%
$320,266 Объем
<1%
Sánchez 4–8%
$86,047 Объем
<1%
Sánchez 8–12%
$38,523 Объем
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
$31,061 Объем
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a projected narrow lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez with over 99% of ballots counted in Peru’s June 7 runoff, placing her on track for a 0–4% margin of victory. This positioning stems from her consistent strength in Lima and other urban centers, where remaining tallies under review are concentrated, outweighing Sánchez’s rural support in the south. The vote count has been protracted amid polarization, with both sides raising concerns over irregularities, though official projections and historical patterns favor Fujimori’s edge holding. Potential shifts could arise from successful challenges to disputed ballots, nullification appeals, or late procedural rulings by electoral authorities before the mid-July certification deadline.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Объем
$1,109,913Дата окончания
7 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a projected narrow lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez with over 99% of ballots counted in Peru’s June 7 runoff, placing her on track for a 0–4% margin of victory. This positioning stems from her consistent strength in Lima and other urban centers, where remaining tallies under review are concentrated, outweighing Sánchez’s rural support in the south. The vote count has been protracted amid polarization, with both sides raising concerns over irregularities, though official projections and historical patterns favor Fujimori’s edge holding. Potential shifts could arise from successful challenges to disputed ballots, nullification appeals, or late procedural rulings by electoral authorities before the mid-July certification deadline.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$1,109,913Дата окончания
7 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori holds a projected narrow lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez with over 99% of ballots counted in Peru’s June 7 runoff, placing her on track for a 0–4% margin of victory. This positioning stems from her consistent strength in Lima and other urban centers, where remaining tallies under review are concentrated, outweighing Sánchez’s rural support in the south. The vote count has been protracted amid polarization, with both sides raising concerns over irregularities, though official projections and historical patterns favor Fujimori’s edge holding. Potential shifts could arise from successful challenges to disputed ballots, nullification appeals, or late procedural rulings by electoral authorities before the mid-July certification deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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