With over 95% of ballots processed by Peru's ONPE in the April 12-13 presidential first-round election, Jorge Nieto of Partido del Buen Gobierno holds a commanding fourth place behind frontrunners Keiko Fujimori (Fuerza Popular), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú), and Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular), driving trader consensus to 91% implied probability and reflecting his late-campaign polling surge among centrist voters seeking stability amid political chaos. Logistical delays, thousands of observed actas, and fraud allegations have slowed the count, but gaps have stabilized with remaining rural and disputed ballots unlikely to elevate challengers like Ricardo Belmont. JNE's official proclamation on May 17 could confirm, barring successful recounts or legal challenges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРикардо Бельмонт <1%
Роберто Санчес Паломино <1%
Кейко Фухимори <1%
Карлос Альварес <1%
$469,179 Объем
$469,179 Объем

Рикардо Бельмонт
1%

Роберто Санчес Паломино
1%

Кейко Фухимори
<1%

Карлос Альварес
<1%

Альфонсо Лопес Чау
<1%

Хосе Луна
<1%

Роберто Чиабра
<1%

Хосе Уильямс
<1%

Карлос Эспа
<1%

Йонхи Лескано
<1%

Марисоль Перес Тельо
<1%

Рафаэль Лопес Альяга
<1%

Марио Вискарра
<1%

Сесар Акуня
<1%

Владимир Серрон
<1%

Джордж Форсайт
<1%

Энрике Вальдеррама
<1%

Фиорелла Молинелли
<1%

Фернандо Оливера
<1%

Рафаэль Белаунде Льоса
<1%

Месияс Гевара
<1%

Вольфганг Грозо
<1%

Хорхе Ньето
59%
Рикардо Бельмонт <1%
Роберто Санчес Паломино <1%
Кейко Фухимори <1%
Карлос Альварес <1%
$469,179 Объем
$469,179 Объем

Рикардо Бельмонт
1%

Роберто Санчес Паломино
1%

Кейко Фухимори
<1%

Карлос Альварес
<1%

Альфонсо Лопес Чау
<1%

Хосе Луна
<1%

Роберто Чиабра
<1%

Хосе Уильямс
<1%

Карлос Эспа
<1%

Йонхи Лескано
<1%

Марисоль Перес Тельо
<1%

Рафаэль Лопес Альяга
<1%

Марио Вискарра
<1%

Сесар Акуня
<1%

Владимир Серрон
<1%

Джордж Форсайт
<1%

Энрике Вальдеррама
<1%

Фиорелла Молинелли
<1%

Фернандо Оливера
<1%

Рафаэль Белаунде Льоса
<1%

Месияс Гевара
<1%

Вольфганг Грозо
<1%

Хорхе Ньето
59%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 95% of ballots processed by Peru's ONPE in the April 12-13 presidential first-round election, Jorge Nieto of Partido del Buen Gobierno holds a commanding fourth place behind frontrunners Keiko Fujimori (Fuerza Popular), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú), and Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular), driving trader consensus to 91% implied probability and reflecting his late-campaign polling surge among centrist voters seeking stability amid political chaos. Logistical delays, thousands of observed actas, and fraud allegations have slowed the count, but gaps have stabilized with remaining rural and disputed ballots unlikely to elevate challengers like Ricardo Belmont. JNE's official proclamation on May 17 could confirm, barring successful recounts or legal challenges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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