United Russia holds a commanding position as the incumbent ruling party ahead of the September 18–20 2026 State Duma elections, backed by extensive administrative resources, consistent dominance in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system, and recent regional results showing overwhelming victories. Preparations advanced after President Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the date, while opposition parties face registration hurdles and recent exclusions such as Yabloko’s Supreme Court disqualification. Polling trends and party primaries reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling bloc. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late shifts in voter turnout, unexpected legal or administrative changes affecting candidate eligibility, or significant escalations in external events within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЕдиная Россия (ЕР) 98.4%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
Яблоко <1%
$3,126,113 Объем
$3,126,113 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
98%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
<1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
<1%
Яблоко
<1%
Новые люди (НЛ)
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Родина
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 98.4%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
Яблоко <1%
$3,126,113 Объем
$3,126,113 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$775,857 Объем
98%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$198,399 Объем
<1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$155,474 Объем
<1%
Яблоко
$25,897 Объем
<1%
Новые люди (НЛ)
$131,765 Объем
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$603,407 Объем
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
$732,780 Объем
<1%
Родина
$502,537 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds a commanding position as the incumbent ruling party ahead of the September 18–20 2026 State Duma elections, backed by extensive administrative resources, consistent dominance in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system, and recent regional results showing overwhelming victories. Preparations advanced after President Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the date, while opposition parties face registration hurdles and recent exclusions such as Yabloko’s Supreme Court disqualification. Polling trends and party primaries reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling bloc. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late shifts in voter turnout, unexpected legal or administrative changes affecting candidate eligibility, or significant escalations in external events within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Объем
$3,126,113Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds a commanding position as the incumbent ruling party ahead of the September 18–20 2026 State Duma elections, backed by extensive administrative resources, consistent dominance in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system, and recent regional results showing overwhelming victories. Preparations advanced after President Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the date, while opposition parties face registration hurdles and recent exclusions such as Yabloko’s Supreme Court disqualification. Polling trends and party primaries reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling bloc. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late shifts in voter turnout, unexpected legal or administrative changes affecting candidate eligibility, or significant escalations in external events within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$3,126,113Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds a commanding position as the incumbent ruling party ahead of the September 18–20 2026 State Duma elections, backed by extensive administrative resources, consistent dominance in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system, and recent regional results showing overwhelming victories. Preparations advanced after President Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the date, while opposition parties face registration hurdles and recent exclusions such as Yabloko’s Supreme Court disqualification. Polling trends and party primaries reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling bloc. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late shifts in voter turnout, unexpected legal or administrative changes affecting candidate eligibility, or significant escalations in external events within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
Получит ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу?
67%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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