Democratic incumbent Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points, substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $16 million raised, and the state's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats in federal contests. Warner advanced unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while Republican Bert Mizusawa secured his party's nomination with 51.5% in a three-way contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including incumbency benefits and limited Republican momentum in Virginia battlegrounds. A realistic shift would require major developments such as a significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or sharp erosion in Warner's support among key voter groups in the final months before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Вирджинии
Победитель выборов в Сенат Вирджинии
$14,835 Объем
$14,835 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
94%
Республиканец
6%
$14,835 Объем
$14,835 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$9,129 Объем
94%
Республиканец
$5,706 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points, substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $16 million raised, and the state's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats in federal contests. Warner advanced unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while Republican Bert Mizusawa secured his party's nomination with 51.5% in a three-way contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including incumbency benefits and limited Republican momentum in Virginia battlegrounds. A realistic shift would require major developments such as a significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or sharp erosion in Warner's support among key voter groups in the final months before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$14,835Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points, substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $16 million raised, and the state's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats in federal contests. Warner advanced unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while Republican Bert Mizusawa secured his party's nomination with 51.5% in a three-way contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including incumbency benefits and limited Republican momentum in Virginia battlegrounds. A realistic shift would require major developments such as a significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or sharp erosion in Warner's support among key voter groups in the final months before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$14,835Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points, substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $16 million raised, and the state's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats in federal contests. Warner advanced unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while Republican Bert Mizusawa secured his party's nomination with 51.5% in a three-way contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including incumbency benefits and limited Republican momentum in Virginia battlegrounds. A realistic shift would require major developments such as a significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or sharp erosion in Warner's support among key voter groups in the final months before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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