Diplomatic momentum between the Trump administration and Moscow has stalled since the August 2025 Alaska summit, with no follow-up bilateral meeting scheduled and the Ukraine conflict showing renewed escalation rather than progress toward a negotiated settlement. Recent July 2026 phone contacts produced only vague commitments to future talks without setting dates or venues, while Russian officials have distanced themselves from earlier “spirit of Anchorage” references and Europe seeks greater involvement to avoid exclusion. These developments underpin trader consensus favoring no meeting by year-end at 60.5 percent. China leads alternative locations at 32.5 percent as a plausible neutral third-country site for any high-level engagement, reflecting patterns in prior great-power diplomacy, whereas U.S. hosting remains unlikely at 3.6 percent given current bilateral tensions and procedural hurdles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГде Трамп и Путин встретятся в 2026 году?
Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в 2026 году?
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря 61%
China 33%
United States 3.8%
Other <1%
$491,920 Объем
$491,920 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря
61%
China
33%
United States
4%
Other
1%
Gulf country
1%
Other EU country
1%
Turkey
1%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря 61%
China 33%
United States 3.8%
Other <1%
$491,920 Объем
$491,920 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря
$98,216 Объем
61%
China
$62,227 Объем
33%
United States
$25,355 Объем
4%
Other
$18,160 Объем
1%
Gulf country
$17,282 Объем
1%
Other EU country
$16,060 Объем
1%
Turkey
$25,095 Объем
1%
Russia
$66,497 Объем
1%
Switzerland
$20,685 Объем
<1%
Finland
$21,461 Объем
<1%
Belarus
$19,715 Объем
<1%
South Korea
$17,445 Объем
<1%
Ukraine
$17,686 Объем
<1%
Japan
$24,772 Объем
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic momentum between the Trump administration and Moscow has stalled since the August 2025 Alaska summit, with no follow-up bilateral meeting scheduled and the Ukraine conflict showing renewed escalation rather than progress toward a negotiated settlement. Recent July 2026 phone contacts produced only vague commitments to future talks without setting dates or venues, while Russian officials have distanced themselves from earlier “spirit of Anchorage” references and Europe seeks greater involvement to avoid exclusion. These developments underpin trader consensus favoring no meeting by year-end at 60.5 percent. China leads alternative locations at 32.5 percent as a plausible neutral third-country site for any high-level engagement, reflecting patterns in prior great-power diplomacy, whereas U.S. hosting remains unlikely at 3.6 percent given current bilateral tensions and procedural hurdles.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Объем
$491,920Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic momentum between the Trump administration and Moscow has stalled since the August 2025 Alaska summit, with no follow-up bilateral meeting scheduled and the Ukraine conflict showing renewed escalation rather than progress toward a negotiated settlement. Recent July 2026 phone contacts produced only vague commitments to future talks without setting dates or venues, while Russian officials have distanced themselves from earlier “spirit of Anchorage” references and Europe seeks greater involvement to avoid exclusion. These developments underpin trader consensus favoring no meeting by year-end at 60.5 percent. China leads alternative locations at 32.5 percent as a plausible neutral third-country site for any high-level engagement, reflecting patterns in prior great-power diplomacy, whereas U.S. hosting remains unlikely at 3.6 percent given current bilateral tensions and procedural hurdles.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$491,920Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Diplomatic momentum between the Trump administration and Moscow has stalled since the August 2025 Alaska summit, with no follow-up bilateral meeting scheduled and the Ukraine conflict showing renewed escalation rather than progress toward a negotiated settlement. Recent July 2026 phone contacts produced only vague commitments to future talks without setting dates or venues, while Russian officials have distanced themselves from earlier “spirit of Anchorage” references and Europe seeks greater involvement to avoid exclusion. These developments underpin trader consensus favoring no meeting by year-end at 60.5 percent. China leads alternative locations at 32.5 percent as a plausible neutral third-country site for any high-level engagement, reflecting patterns in prior great-power diplomacy, whereas U.S. hosting remains unlikely at 3.6 percent given current bilateral tensions and procedural hurdles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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