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icon for Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Выборы·Мировые выборы

Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?

icon for Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Выборы·Мировые выборы

Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?

Единая Россия (ЕР) 61%

Новые люди (NL) 29.8%

Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 5.3%

Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 3.0%

Polymarket

$8,230,491 Объем

Единая Россия (ЕР) 61%

Новые люди (NL) 29.8%

Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 5.3%

Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 3.0%

Polymarket

$8,230,491 Объем

icon for Единая Россия (ЕР)

Единая Россия (ЕР)

$2,147,831 Объем

61%

icon for Новые люди (NL)

Новые люди (NL)

$1,054,257 Объем

30%

icon for Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)

Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)

$2,276,415 Объем

5%

icon for Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)

Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)

$658,279 Объем

3%

icon for Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)

Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)

$574,590 Объем

1%

icon for Родина

Родина

$936,181 Объем

<1%

icon for Гражданская платформа (ГП)

Гражданская платформа (ГП)

$583,145 Объем

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched position within Russia’s managed electoral system and recent regional gains that boosted its performance by double digits compared with prior cycles. Polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding 35 to 53 percent support, far ahead of New People, which trails at 6 to 17 percent amid fluctuating second-place readings, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties remain in low single digits. Kremlin preparations, including the January 2026 unveiling of a pro-war candidate list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev and Sergei Lavrov, underscore institutional efforts to consolidate support ahead of the vote. These dynamics align with historical patterns of the ruling party’s dominance in proportional and single-member district contests, though the four-month timeline leaves room for shifts driven by voter turnout or late campaign developments.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$8,230,491
Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched position within Russia’s managed electoral system and recent regional gains that boosted its performance by double digits compared with prior cycles. Polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding 35 to 53 percent support, far ahead of New People, which trails at 6 to 17 percent amid fluctuating second-place readings, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties remain in low single digits. Kremlin preparations, including the January 2026 unveiling of a pro-war candidate list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev and Sergei Lavrov, underscore institutional efforts to consolidate support ahead of the vote. These dynamics align with historical patterns of the ruling party’s dominance in proportional and single-member district contests, though the four-month timeline leaves room for shifts driven by voter turnout or late campaign developments.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$8,230,491
Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Единая Россия (ЕР)» с 61%, за ним следует «Новые люди (NL)» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 61¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $8.2 million с момента запуска рынка Jan 7, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?» — «Единая Россия (ЕР)» с 61%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Новые люди (NL)» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.