The fragmented field of Democratic candidates in California's June 2 top-two primary continues to shape trader assessments of advancement, as polls show no single Democrat consistently leading a vote split across multiple contenders including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter. Republican frontrunners Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco have benefited from this division, with Hilton gaining after former President Trump's April endorsement consolidated some GOP support. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal amid controversy shifted additional backing toward Becerra in recent surveys. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing, taxes, and public safety, while the June primary timeline leaves limited room for further consolidation before voters determine the two finalists for November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$660,979 Объем
Стив Хилтон
74%
Ксавье Бесерра
68%
Том Стейер
45%
Мэтт Мэйан
6%
Элейн Кулотти
3%
Итан Агарвал
3%
Чад Бьянко
3%
Джимми Паркер
2%
Райан Тиллман
2%
Антонио Вильярайгоса
2%
Дэвид Телен
2%
Кэти Портер
2%
Ники Минаж
2%
Че Ан
2%
Тандер Парли
2%
Иэн Кальдерон
2%
Ражи Раб
1%
Золтан Истван
1%
Брэндон Джонс
1%
Кайл Лэнгфорд
1%
Леонард Джексон
1%
Бутч Вэр
1%
Бетти Йи
1%
Дерек Грасти
1%
Эрик Суолуэлл
1%
Тони Турмонд
1%
София Бринк
1%
Даниэль Меркьюри
1%
Джейвен Аллен
7%
Каролина Бюлер
1%
Дэвид Серпа
1%
Николас Томпсон
1%
Рэмси Робинсон
1%
Лео Заки
1%
Дилан Колберт
1%
Шарифа Харди
<1%
$660,979 Объем
Стив Хилтон
74%
Ксавье Бесерра
68%
Том Стейер
45%
Мэтт Мэйан
6%
Элейн Кулотти
3%
Итан Агарвал
3%
Чад Бьянко
3%
Джимми Паркер
2%
Райан Тиллман
2%
Антонио Вильярайгоса
2%
Дэвид Телен
2%
Кэти Портер
2%
Ники Минаж
2%
Че Ан
2%
Тандер Парли
2%
Иэн Кальдерон
2%
Ражи Раб
1%
Золтан Истван
1%
Брэндон Джонс
1%
Кайл Лэнгфорд
1%
Леонард Джексон
1%
Бутч Вэр
1%
Бетти Йи
1%
Дерек Грасти
1%
Эрик Суолуэлл
1%
Тони Турмонд
1%
София Бринк
1%
Даниэль Меркьюри
1%
Джейвен Аллен
7%
Каролина Бюлер
1%
Дэвид Серпа
1%
Николас Томпсон
1%
Рэмси Робинсон
1%
Лео Заки
1%
Дилан Колберт
1%
Шарифа Харди
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The fragmented field of Democratic candidates in California's June 2 top-two primary continues to shape trader assessments of advancement, as polls show no single Democrat consistently leading a vote split across multiple contenders including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter. Republican frontrunners Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco have benefited from this division, with Hilton gaining after former President Trump's April endorsement consolidated some GOP support. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal amid controversy shifted additional backing toward Becerra in recent surveys. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing, taxes, and public safety, while the June primary timeline leaves limited room for further consolidation before voters determine the two finalists for November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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