President Trump’s appointment of Bill Pulte as acting director of national intelligence following Tulsi Gabbard’s resignation has kept the permanent nomination process open, with the White House actively interviewing candidates for the Senate-confirmed role. This timeline uncertainty underpins the leading 26.9% probability on no announcement by year-end. Among listed contenders, John Ratcliffe’s prior service as DNI and current CIA leadership provide institutional familiarity that distinguishes him from other names such as Elise Stefanik, Richard Grenell, and Devin Nunes, whose profiles emphasize political alignment over intelligence community experience. Confirmation dynamics, including Senate vote thresholds and competing administration priorities, continue to shape trader assessments of which profile advances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWho will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
No announcement by December 31 26.9%
Aaron Lukas 12%
Элис Стефаник 11%
Michael Ellis 8.8%
$79,514 Объем
$79,514 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
No announcement by December 31
27%
Aaron Lukas
12%
Элис Стефаник
11%
Michael Ellis
9%
John Ratcliffe
15%
Devin Nunes
7%
Chris Stewart
6%
Tom Cotton
6%
Mike Flynn
5%
Richard Grenell
7%
John Eisenberg
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
4%
Sebastian Gorka
4%
Stephen Miller
3%
Derek Harvey
3%
Robert O’Brien
3%
Kash Patel
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
Stacey Dixon
<1%
No announcement by December 31 26.9%
Aaron Lukas 12%
Элис Стефаник 11%
Michael Ellis 8.8%
$79,514 Объем
$79,514 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
No announcement by December 31
$18,974 Объем
27%
Aaron Lukas
$16,810 Объем
12%
Элис Стефаник
$14,189 Объем
11%
Michael Ellis
$1,597 Объем
9%
John Ratcliffe
$324 Объем
15%
Devin Nunes
$8,795 Объем
7%
Chris Stewart
$314 Объем
6%
Tom Cotton
$8,602 Объем
6%
Mike Flynn
$238 Объем
5%
Richard Grenell
$7,972 Объем
7%
John Eisenberg
$156 Объем
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
$174 Объем
4%
Sebastian Gorka
$148 Объем
4%
Stephen Miller
$130 Объем
3%
Derek Harvey
$254 Объем
3%
Robert O’Brien
$164 Объем
3%
Kash Patel
$238 Объем
<1%
Mike Waltz
$158 Объем
<1%
Stacey Dixon
$274 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s appointment of Bill Pulte as acting director of national intelligence following Tulsi Gabbard’s resignation has kept the permanent nomination process open, with the White House actively interviewing candidates for the Senate-confirmed role. This timeline uncertainty underpins the leading 26.9% probability on no announcement by year-end. Among listed contenders, John Ratcliffe’s prior service as DNI and current CIA leadership provide institutional familiarity that distinguishes him from other names such as Elise Stefanik, Richard Grenell, and Devin Nunes, whose profiles emphasize political alignment over intelligence community experience. Confirmation dynamics, including Senate vote thresholds and competing administration priorities, continue to shape trader assessments of which profile advances.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Объем
$79,514Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s appointment of Bill Pulte as acting director of national intelligence following Tulsi Gabbard’s resignation has kept the permanent nomination process open, with the White House actively interviewing candidates for the Senate-confirmed role. This timeline uncertainty underpins the leading 26.9% probability on no announcement by year-end. Among listed contenders, John Ratcliffe’s prior service as DNI and current CIA leadership provide institutional familiarity that distinguishes him from other names such as Elise Stefanik, Richard Grenell, and Devin Nunes, whose profiles emphasize political alignment over intelligence community experience. Confirmation dynamics, including Senate vote thresholds and competing administration priorities, continue to shape trader assessments of which profile advances.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$79,514Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump’s appointment of Bill Pulte as acting director of national intelligence following Tulsi Gabbard’s resignation has kept the permanent nomination process open, with the White House actively interviewing candidates for the Senate-confirmed role. This timeline uncertainty underpins the leading 26.9% probability on no announcement by year-end. Among listed contenders, John Ratcliffe’s prior service as DNI and current CIA leadership provide institutional familiarity that distinguishes him from other names such as Elise Stefanik, Richard Grenell, and Devin Nunes, whose profiles emphasize political alignment over intelligence community experience. Confirmation dynamics, including Senate vote thresholds and competing administration priorities, continue to shape trader assessments of which profile advances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы