Iran’s next regularly scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early contests require formal triggers such as the president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, or a decision by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council. The February 2026 assassination of Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced rapid leadership continuity without any parallel move to shorten the presidential timeline. Recent political reporting indicates no active legislative or institutional push to advance the vote, keeping the probability of an election before late 2026 or 2027 low in trader assessments. Key variables to monitor include any future health developments affecting the president or new supreme leader, major domestic unrest, or shifts in Assembly of Experts guidance on electoral timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПроведет ли Иран президентские выборы...?
Проведет ли Иран президентские выборы...?
$767,367 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
5%
$767,367 Объем
31 декабря
$153 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s next regularly scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early contests require formal triggers such as the president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, or a decision by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council. The February 2026 assassination of Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced rapid leadership continuity without any parallel move to shorten the presidential timeline. Recent political reporting indicates no active legislative or institutional push to advance the vote, keeping the probability of an election before late 2026 or 2027 low in trader assessments. Key variables to monitor include any future health developments affecting the president or new supreme leader, major domestic unrest, or shifts in Assembly of Experts guidance on electoral timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Объем
$767,367Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s next regularly scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early contests require formal triggers such as the president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, or a decision by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council. The February 2026 assassination of Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced rapid leadership continuity without any parallel move to shorten the presidential timeline. Recent political reporting indicates no active legislative or institutional push to advance the vote, keeping the probability of an election before late 2026 or 2027 low in trader assessments. Key variables to monitor include any future health developments affecting the president or new supreme leader, major domestic unrest, or shifts in Assembly of Experts guidance on electoral timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$767,367Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s next regularly scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Early contests require formal triggers such as the president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, or a decision by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council. The February 2026 assassination of Ali Khamenei and subsequent March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced rapid leadership continuity without any parallel move to shorten the presidential timeline. Recent political reporting indicates no active legislative or institutional push to advance the vote, keeping the probability of an election before late 2026 or 2027 low in trader assessments. Key variables to monitor include any future health developments affecting the president or new supreme leader, major domestic unrest, or shifts in Assembly of Experts guidance on electoral timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы