Israel maintains military control over roughly 64 percent of the Gaza Strip amid a fragile ceasefire in place since October 2025. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s August 9 rejection of the U.S.-backed Board of Peace disarmament framework, coupled with the insistence that Israeli forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, has become the dominant near-term driver of market pricing. Intermittent Israeli strikes targeting suspected militants and sporadic ceasefire violations continue, while Hamas has signaled acceptance of disarmament steps but faces internal resistance. Traders are monitoring upcoming diplomatic contacts, any fresh rocket activity or hostage-related incidents, and Israeli cabinet deliberations on whether limited ground maneuvers escalate into a broader offensive before key deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$750,258 Объем
31 окт. 2025 г.
31 декабря
15%
$750,258 Объем
31 декабря
$100,627 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel maintains military control over roughly 64 percent of the Gaza Strip amid a fragile ceasefire in place since October 2025. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s August 9 rejection of the U.S.-backed Board of Peace disarmament framework, coupled with the insistence that Israeli forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, has become the dominant near-term driver of market pricing. Intermittent Israeli strikes targeting suspected militants and sporadic ceasefire violations continue, while Hamas has signaled acceptance of disarmament steps but faces internal resistance. Traders are monitoring upcoming diplomatic contacts, any fresh rocket activity or hostage-related incidents, and Israeli cabinet deliberations on whether limited ground maneuvers escalate into a broader offensive before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Объем
$750,258Дата окончания
31 дек. 2025 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel maintains military control over roughly 64 percent of the Gaza Strip amid a fragile ceasefire in place since October 2025. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s August 9 rejection of the U.S.-backed Board of Peace disarmament framework, coupled with the insistence that Israeli forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, has become the dominant near-term driver of market pricing. Intermittent Israeli strikes targeting suspected militants and sporadic ceasefire violations continue, while Hamas has signaled acceptance of disarmament steps but faces internal resistance. Traders are monitoring upcoming diplomatic contacts, any fresh rocket activity or hostage-related incidents, and Israeli cabinet deliberations on whether limited ground maneuvers escalate into a broader offensive before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$750,258Дата окончания
31 дек. 2025 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel maintains military control over roughly 64 percent of the Gaza Strip amid a fragile ceasefire in place since October 2025. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s August 9 rejection of the U.S.-backed Board of Peace disarmament framework, coupled with the insistence that Israeli forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, has become the dominant near-term driver of market pricing. Intermittent Israeli strikes targeting suspected militants and sporadic ceasefire violations continue, while Hamas has signaled acceptance of disarmament steps but faces internal resistance. Traders are monitoring upcoming diplomatic contacts, any fresh rocket activity or hostage-related incidents, and Israeli cabinet deliberations on whether limited ground maneuvers escalate into a broader offensive before key deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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