Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes since the April 20, 2026 event off Japan, creating a three-week lull after an early-year cluster of five such events concentrated along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones. This pattern aligns with the long-term average of roughly 16 M7+ quakes annually, where activity often clusters before quiet intervals governed by Poisson statistics and tectonic stress accumulation. Traders weigh the recent quiet period against ongoing strain release on major faults, with resolution hinging on official USGS magnitude thresholds and real-time detections that could shift odds rapidly if a new event registers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$29,217 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
May 15
<1%
May 30
37%
$29,217 ปริมาณ
May 15
$6,793 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 30
$9,177 ปริมาณ
37%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes since the April 20, 2026 event off Japan, creating a three-week lull after an early-year cluster of five such events concentrated along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones. This pattern aligns with the long-term average of roughly 16 M7+ quakes annually, where activity often clusters before quiet intervals governed by Poisson statistics and tectonic stress accumulation. Traders weigh the recent quiet period against ongoing strain release on major faults, with resolution hinging on official USGS magnitude thresholds and real-time detections that could shift odds rapidly if a new event registers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,217วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes since the April 20, 2026 event off Japan, creating a three-week lull after an early-year cluster of five such events concentrated along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones. This pattern aligns with the long-term average of roughly 16 M7+ quakes annually, where activity often clusters before quiet intervals governed by Poisson statistics and tectonic stress accumulation. Traders weigh the recent quiet period against ongoing strain release on major faults, with resolution hinging on official USGS magnitude thresholds and real-time detections that could shift odds rapidly if a new event registers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,217วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes since the April 20, 2026 event off Japan, creating a three-week lull after an early-year cluster of five such events concentrated along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones. This pattern aligns with the long-term average of roughly 16 M7+ quakes annually, where activity often clusters before quiet intervals governed by Poisson statistics and tectonic stress accumulation. Traders weigh the recent quiet period against ongoing strain release on major faults, with resolution hinging on official USGS magnitude thresholds and real-time detections that could shift odds rapidly if a new event registers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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