The successful U.S. military operation on January 3, 2026, which captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid charges of narco-terrorism, has sharply reduced the near-term likelihood of further strikes on Venezuelan soil. With Maduro removed and Delcy Rodríguez installed as interim president, the Trump administration has pivoted toward diplomatic pressure, including demands for oil-sector privatization, sanctions relief tied to compliance, and an amnesty process releasing political prisoners. No additional U.S. airstrikes, missile attacks, or drone operations inside Venezuela have been reported in the ensuing months, and bilateral diplomatic relations have begun to normalize. Traders appear to price in limited escalation risk unless renewed drug-trafficking incidents or regime noncompliance trigger renewed naval deployments in the Caribbean. Scheduled congressional oversight hearings and any Venezuelan elections could still introduce volatility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯโจมตีเวเนซุเอลาอีกครั้งโดย...?
สหรัฐฯโจมตีเวเนซุเอลาอีกครั้งโดย...?
$2,532,664 ปริมาณ
Jan 31, 2026
31 ธันวาคม
13%
$2,532,664 ปริมาณ
31 ธันวาคม
$491,363 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.The successful U.S. military operation on January 3, 2026, which captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid charges of narco-terrorism, has sharply reduced the near-term likelihood of further strikes on Venezuelan soil. With Maduro removed and Delcy Rodríguez installed as interim president, the Trump administration has pivoted toward diplomatic pressure, including demands for oil-sector privatization, sanctions relief tied to compliance, and an amnesty process releasing political prisoners. No additional U.S. airstrikes, missile attacks, or drone operations inside Venezuela have been reported in the ensuing months, and bilateral diplomatic relations have begun to normalize. Traders appear to price in limited escalation risk unless renewed drug-trafficking incidents or regime noncompliance trigger renewed naval deployments in the Caribbean. Scheduled congressional oversight hearings and any Venezuelan elections could still introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,532,664วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.The successful U.S. military operation on January 3, 2026, which captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid charges of narco-terrorism, has sharply reduced the near-term likelihood of further strikes on Venezuelan soil. With Maduro removed and Delcy Rodríguez installed as interim president, the Trump administration has pivoted toward diplomatic pressure, including demands for oil-sector privatization, sanctions relief tied to compliance, and an amnesty process releasing political prisoners. No additional U.S. airstrikes, missile attacks, or drone operations inside Venezuela have been reported in the ensuing months, and bilateral diplomatic relations have begun to normalize. Traders appear to price in limited escalation risk unless renewed drug-trafficking incidents or regime noncompliance trigger renewed naval deployments in the Caribbean. Scheduled congressional oversight hearings and any Venezuelan elections could still introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,532,664วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The successful U.S. military operation on January 3, 2026, which captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid charges of narco-terrorism, has sharply reduced the near-term likelihood of further strikes on Venezuelan soil. With Maduro removed and Delcy Rodríguez installed as interim president, the Trump administration has pivoted toward diplomatic pressure, including demands for oil-sector privatization, sanctions relief tied to compliance, and an amnesty process releasing political prisoners. No additional U.S. airstrikes, missile attacks, or drone operations inside Venezuela have been reported in the ensuing months, and bilateral diplomatic relations have begun to normalize. Traders appear to price in limited escalation risk unless renewed drug-trafficking incidents or regime noncompliance trigger renewed naval deployments in the Caribbean. Scheduled congressional oversight hearings and any Venezuelan elections could still introduce volatility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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