Recent polling fluctuations between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil have kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote. Surveys from firms such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show technical ties or narrow leads that swing by several points depending on the scenario tested, reflecting voter indecision and divided preferences across first-round and runoff matchups. Traders assign ACM Neto the leading probability at 47.5 percent, followed closely by Rodrigues at 40 percent, consistent with the absence of a decisive breakout in state-level surveys. Upcoming campaign events, candidate positioning on public security and economic management, and any consolidation of smaller candidacies could shift momentum before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
ACM Neto 48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 40%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$13,978 ปริมาณ
$13,978 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
40%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
ACM Neto 48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 40%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$13,978 ปริมาณ
$13,978 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
$3,766 ปริมาณ
48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$3,844 ปริมาณ
40%
Kleber Rosa
$1,281 ปริมาณ
<1%
João Roma
$966 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$1,060 ปริมาณ
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$1,938 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,124 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling fluctuations between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil have kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote. Surveys from firms such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show technical ties or narrow leads that swing by several points depending on the scenario tested, reflecting voter indecision and divided preferences across first-round and runoff matchups. Traders assign ACM Neto the leading probability at 47.5 percent, followed closely by Rodrigues at 40 percent, consistent with the absence of a decisive breakout in state-level surveys. Upcoming campaign events, candidate positioning on public security and economic management, and any consolidation of smaller candidacies could shift momentum before election day.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,978วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling fluctuations between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil have kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote. Surveys from firms such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show technical ties or narrow leads that swing by several points depending on the scenario tested, reflecting voter indecision and divided preferences across first-round and runoff matchups. Traders assign ACM Neto the leading probability at 47.5 percent, followed closely by Rodrigues at 40 percent, consistent with the absence of a decisive breakout in state-level surveys. Upcoming campaign events, candidate positioning on public security and economic management, and any consolidation of smaller candidacies could shift momentum before election day.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,978วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling fluctuations between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil have kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote. Surveys from firms such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show technical ties or narrow leads that swing by several points depending on the scenario tested, reflecting voter indecision and divided preferences across first-round and runoff matchups. Traders assign ACM Neto the leading probability at 47.5 percent, followed closely by Rodrigues at 40 percent, consistent with the absence of a decisive breakout in state-level surveys. Upcoming campaign events, candidate positioning on public security and economic management, and any consolidation of smaller candidacies could shift momentum before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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