**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning 31°C as the dominant outcome for Ankara’s daily maximum temperature on September 2, 2026.** Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple numerical models (including Yr.no) indicate a peak near 31°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability for 31°C, while the 26% share on 30°C reflects slight model spread and the possibility of the official station maximum falling just below the threshold. Ankara’s continental climate in early September typically features daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s as solar insolation declines from summer peaks; today’s conditions match this baseline with dew points in the single digits and humidity dropping below 25% during peak heating hours. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and no incoming frontal systems or moisture that could suppress temperatures or trigger convective cooling. The slim 4.2% odds on 32°C account for localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast adjustments, but the consensus across authoritative sources keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–31°C. Updated observations through midday will further refine these probabilities as the diurnal maximum approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on September 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 2?
31°C 74%
30°C 24%
32°C 5.6%
29°C 2%
$18,945 ปริมาณ
$18,945 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
24%
31°C
74%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 74%
30°C 24%
32°C 5.6%
29°C 2%
$18,945 ปริมาณ
$18,945 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
$320 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$427 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$893 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$3,266 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$4,199 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$6,835 ปริมาณ
74%
32°C
$1,630 ปริมาณ
6%
33°C
$628 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$212 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$187 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$348 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning 31°C as the dominant outcome for Ankara’s daily maximum temperature on September 2, 2026.** Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple numerical models (including Yr.no) indicate a peak near 31°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability for 31°C, while the 26% share on 30°C reflects slight model spread and the possibility of the official station maximum falling just below the threshold.
Ankara’s continental climate in early September typically features daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s as solar insolation declines from summer peaks; today’s conditions match this baseline with dew points in the single digits and humidity dropping below 25% during peak heating hours. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and no incoming frontal systems or moisture that could suppress temperatures or trigger convective cooling. The slim 4.2% odds on 32°C account for localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast adjustments, but the consensus across authoritative sources keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–31°C. Updated observations through midday will further refine these probabilities as the diurnal maximum approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,945วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning 31°C as the dominant outcome for Ankara’s daily maximum temperature on September 2, 2026.** Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple numerical models (including Yr.no) indicate a peak near 31°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability for 31°C, while the 26% share on 30°C reflects slight model spread and the possibility of the official station maximum falling just below the threshold.
Ankara’s continental climate in early September typically features daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s as solar insolation declines from summer peaks; today’s conditions match this baseline with dew points in the single digits and humidity dropping below 25% during peak heating hours. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and no incoming frontal systems or moisture that could suppress temperatures or trigger convective cooling. The slim 4.2% odds on 32°C account for localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast adjustments, but the consensus across authoritative sources keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–31°C. Updated observations through midday will further refine these probabilities as the diurnal maximum approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,945วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning 31°C as the dominant outcome for Ankara’s daily maximum temperature on September 2, 2026.** Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple numerical models (including Yr.no) indicate a peak near 31°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability for 31°C, while the 26% share on 30°C reflects slight model spread and the possibility of the official station maximum falling just below the threshold. Ankara’s continental climate in early September typically features daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s as solar insolation declines from summer peaks; today’s conditions match this baseline with dew points in the single digits and humidity dropping below 25% during peak heating hours. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and no incoming frontal systems or moisture that could suppress temperatures or trigger convective cooling. The slim 4.2% odds on 32°C account for localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast adjustments, but the consensus across authoritative sources keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–31°C. Updated observations through midday will further refine these probabilities as the diurnal maximum approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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