Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over central Anatolia with clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–30 °C in Ankara on September 3. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover around 27–29 °C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk reduce uncertainty in diurnal heating, while consistent model runs show little day-to-day variability through the short-term window. Trader consensus on 30 °C as the leading outcome reflects this tight forecast cluster, with lower probabilities assigned to 31 °C or 29 °C reflecting minor ensemble spread and potential for slight model adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
30°C 61%
31°C 20%
29°C 17%
28°C 3%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
61%
31°C
20%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 61%
31°C 20%
29°C 17%
28°C 3%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
61%
31°C
20%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over central Anatolia with clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–30 °C in Ankara on September 3. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover around 27–29 °C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk reduce uncertainty in diurnal heating, while consistent model runs show little day-to-day variability through the short-term window. Trader consensus on 30 °C as the leading outcome reflects this tight forecast cluster, with lower probabilities assigned to 31 °C or 29 °C reflecting minor ensemble spread and potential for slight model adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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