Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on September 1 project a high of 72°F under partly sunny skies as a weak warm front approaches, consistent with the market’s leading 72-73°F bin at 35.5% implied probability. Upper-level ridging and onshore flow keep temperatures near or slightly below the 74°F climatological average for the date, while model guidance shows limited warming potential before a stronger cold front brings cooler, wetter conditions Wednesday. Trader consensus reflects this tight clustering around official guidance, with lower-probability warmer bins (74-75°F and above) discounted by the expected marine layer influence and rapid seasonal transition. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any last adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on September 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 1?
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 23%
68-69°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 23%
68-69°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
63°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$77 ปริมาณ
2%
68-69°F
$7 ปริมาณ
8%
70-71°F
$25 ปริมาณ
29%
72-73°F
$382 ปริมาณ
36%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
76-77°F
$27 ปริมาณ
5%
78-79°F
$120 ปริมาณ
5%
80-81°F
$7 ปริมาณ
<1%
82°F or higher
$191 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on September 1 project a high of 72°F under partly sunny skies as a weak warm front approaches, consistent with the market’s leading 72-73°F bin at 35.5% implied probability. Upper-level ridging and onshore flow keep temperatures near or slightly below the 74°F climatological average for the date, while model guidance shows limited warming potential before a stronger cold front brings cooler, wetter conditions Wednesday. Trader consensus reflects this tight clustering around official guidance, with lower-probability warmer bins (74-75°F and above) discounted by the expected marine layer influence and rapid seasonal transition. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any last adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$871วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on September 1 project a high of 72°F under partly sunny skies as a weak warm front approaches, consistent with the market’s leading 72-73°F bin at 35.5% implied probability. Upper-level ridging and onshore flow keep temperatures near or slightly below the 74°F climatological average for the date, while model guidance shows limited warming potential before a stronger cold front brings cooler, wetter conditions Wednesday. Trader consensus reflects this tight clustering around official guidance, with lower-probability warmer bins (74-75°F and above) discounted by the expected marine layer influence and rapid seasonal transition. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any last adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$871วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on September 1 project a high of 72°F under partly sunny skies as a weak warm front approaches, consistent with the market’s leading 72-73°F bin at 35.5% implied probability. Upper-level ridging and onshore flow keep temperatures near or slightly below the 74°F climatological average for the date, while model guidance shows limited warming potential before a stronger cold front brings cooler, wetter conditions Wednesday. Trader consensus reflects this tight clustering around official guidance, with lower-probability warmer bins (74-75°F and above) discounted by the expected marine layer influence and rapid seasonal transition. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any last adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย