**Recent forecasts position the highest temperature in Tokyo on August 31 around 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (30 °C at 40%, 29 °C at 26.5%, 31 °C at 20.5%).** As of August 29, 2026, models from the Japan Meteorological Agency, Met Office, and others indicate a mostly cloudy day with easterly winds, high humidity, and only a slight to moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms—conditions that limit strong daytime heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-August peaks above 35 °C, with August 28–29 highs near 29–33 °C under similar overcast, humid patterns. This setup reflects typical late-summer transitional weather in the Kanto region, where cloud cover and moisture moderate temperatures below the seasonal peak (often 31–33 °C). Resolution depends on the official JMA maximum at the Tokyo station; updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast before August 31 will provide the clearest signals for any shifts in these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
30°C 40%
29°C 27%
31°C 21%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
$10,375 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,375 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
27%
30°C
40%
31°C
21%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
29°C 27%
31°C 21%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
$10,375 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,375 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$387 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$458 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$411 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$1,110 ปริมาณ
10%
29°C
$1,874 ปริมาณ
27%
30°C
$2,170 ปริมาณ
40%
31°C
$2,304 ปริมาณ
21%
32°C
$564 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$378 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$195 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$525 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position the highest temperature in Tokyo on August 31 around 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (30 °C at 40%, 29 °C at 26.5%, 31 °C at 20.5%).**
As of August 29, 2026, models from the Japan Meteorological Agency, Met Office, and others indicate a mostly cloudy day with easterly winds, high humidity, and only a slight to moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms—conditions that limit strong daytime heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-August peaks above 35 °C, with August 28–29 highs near 29–33 °C under similar overcast, humid patterns.
This setup reflects typical late-summer transitional weather in the Kanto region, where cloud cover and moisture moderate temperatures below the seasonal peak (often 31–33 °C). Resolution depends on the official JMA maximum at the Tokyo station; updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast before August 31 will provide the clearest signals for any shifts in these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,375วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position the highest temperature in Tokyo on August 31 around 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (30 °C at 40%, 29 °C at 26.5%, 31 °C at 20.5%).**
As of August 29, 2026, models from the Japan Meteorological Agency, Met Office, and others indicate a mostly cloudy day with easterly winds, high humidity, and only a slight to moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms—conditions that limit strong daytime heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-August peaks above 35 °C, with August 28–29 highs near 29–33 °C under similar overcast, humid patterns.
This setup reflects typical late-summer transitional weather in the Kanto region, where cloud cover and moisture moderate temperatures below the seasonal peak (often 31–33 °C). Resolution depends on the official JMA maximum at the Tokyo station; updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast before August 31 will provide the clearest signals for any shifts in these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,375วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts position the highest temperature in Tokyo on August 31 around 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (30 °C at 40%, 29 °C at 26.5%, 31 °C at 20.5%).** As of August 29, 2026, models from the Japan Meteorological Agency, Met Office, and others indicate a mostly cloudy day with easterly winds, high humidity, and only a slight to moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms—conditions that limit strong daytime heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-August peaks above 35 °C, with August 28–29 highs near 29–33 °C under similar overcast, humid patterns. This setup reflects typical late-summer transitional weather in the Kanto region, where cloud cover and moisture moderate temperatures below the seasonal peak (often 31–33 °C). Resolution depends on the official JMA maximum at the Tokyo station; updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast before August 31 will provide the clearest signals for any shifts in these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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