Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus points to a minimum near 11°C in Buenos Aires on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild maritime air. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal passages can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–10°C. Historical early-September minima average near 9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for colder outliers if models trend cooler in final runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 1?
12°C 39%
6°C or below 33%
8°C 27%
7°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
6°C or below
33%
7°C
26%
8°C
27%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
39%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
1%
12°C 39%
6°C or below 33%
8°C 27%
7°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
6°C or below
$30 ปริมาณ
33%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
12°C
$5 ปริมาณ
39%
13°C
$15 ปริมาณ
5%
14°C
$70 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus points to a minimum near 11°C in Buenos Aires on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild maritime air. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal passages can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–10°C. Historical early-September minima average near 9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for colder outliers if models trend cooler in final runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus points to a minimum near 11°C in Buenos Aires on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild maritime air. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal passages can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–10°C. Historical early-September minima average near 9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for colder outliers if models trend cooler in final runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus points to a minimum near 11°C in Buenos Aires on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild maritime air. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal passages can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–10°C. Historical early-September minima average near 9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for colder outliers if models trend cooler in final runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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