Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of August 30, indicate a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Buenos Aires on September 1 with light easterly or northeasterly winds and surface highs near 18°C, close to the early-spring climatological average. Trader emphasis on 19–21°C outcomes likely reflects awareness of typical model warm biases during spring transitions, potential for enhanced solar heating under clear skies, or subtle warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary expected mid-week. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited downside risk below 17°C due to stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals through the period. Key near-term resolution hinges on the next 48-hour model updates and any observed afternoon temperature anomalies relative to the 18–19°C baseline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 1?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 1?
20°C 50%
19°C 32%
21°C 24%
18°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
15°C or below
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
18%
19°C
32%
20°C
33%
21°C
24%
22°C
7%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 50%
19°C 32%
21°C 24%
18°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
15°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
18%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
20°C
$12 ปริมาณ
33%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of August 30, indicate a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Buenos Aires on September 1 with light easterly or northeasterly winds and surface highs near 18°C, close to the early-spring climatological average. Trader emphasis on 19–21°C outcomes likely reflects awareness of typical model warm biases during spring transitions, potential for enhanced solar heating under clear skies, or subtle warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary expected mid-week. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited downside risk below 17°C due to stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals through the period. Key near-term resolution hinges on the next 48-hour model updates and any observed afternoon temperature anomalies relative to the 18–19°C baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of August 30, indicate a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Buenos Aires on September 1 with light easterly or northeasterly winds and surface highs near 18°C, close to the early-spring climatological average. Trader emphasis on 19–21°C outcomes likely reflects awareness of typical model warm biases during spring transitions, potential for enhanced solar heating under clear skies, or subtle warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary expected mid-week. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited downside risk below 17°C due to stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals through the period. Key near-term resolution hinges on the next 48-hour model updates and any observed afternoon temperature anomalies relative to the 18–19°C baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of August 30, indicate a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Buenos Aires on September 1 with light easterly or northeasterly winds and surface highs near 18°C, close to the early-spring climatological average. Trader emphasis on 19–21°C outcomes likely reflects awareness of typical model warm biases during spring transitions, potential for enhanced solar heating under clear skies, or subtle warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary expected mid-week. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited downside risk below 17°C due to stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals through the period. Key near-term resolution hinges on the next 48-hour model updates and any observed afternoon temperature anomalies relative to the 18–19°C baseline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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