Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service consensus and private providers like WeatherBug and WindBorne indicate a high near 98–100°F for Austin on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Late-summer southerly flow, high dew points, and limited cloud cover support daytime heating to the upper 90s, with heat indices potentially reaching 105°F despite a 20–40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that may briefly interrupt insolation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 94°F but falls well below the September 2 record of 106°F set in 2000. Traders appear to weigh the stable multi-model agreement and recent similar late-August/early-September patterns against residual uncertainty in storm timing or intensity that could shave a degree or two from the maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 2?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 2?
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 26%
96-97°F 21%
102-103°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
21%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
26%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 26%
96-97°F 21%
102-103°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
87°F or below
$511 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$17 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$61 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$325 ปริมาณ
3%
94-95°F
$156 ปริมาณ
6%
96-97°F
$947 ปริมาณ
21%
98-99°F
$1,066 ปริมาณ
41%
100-101°F
$331 ปริมาณ
26%
102-103°F
$50 ปริมาณ
8%
104-105°F
$115 ปริมาณ
1%
106°F or higher
$138 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service consensus and private providers like WeatherBug and WindBorne indicate a high near 98–100°F for Austin on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Late-summer southerly flow, high dew points, and limited cloud cover support daytime heating to the upper 90s, with heat indices potentially reaching 105°F despite a 20–40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that may briefly interrupt insolation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 94°F but falls well below the September 2 record of 106°F set in 2000. Traders appear to weigh the stable multi-model agreement and recent similar late-August/early-September patterns against residual uncertainty in storm timing or intensity that could shave a degree or two from the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,718วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service consensus and private providers like WeatherBug and WindBorne indicate a high near 98–100°F for Austin on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Late-summer southerly flow, high dew points, and limited cloud cover support daytime heating to the upper 90s, with heat indices potentially reaching 105°F despite a 20–40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that may briefly interrupt insolation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 94°F but falls well below the September 2 record of 106°F set in 2000. Traders appear to weigh the stable multi-model agreement and recent similar late-August/early-September patterns against residual uncertainty in storm timing or intensity that could shave a degree or two from the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,718วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service consensus and private providers like WeatherBug and WindBorne indicate a high near 98–100°F for Austin on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Late-summer southerly flow, high dew points, and limited cloud cover support daytime heating to the upper 90s, with heat indices potentially reaching 105°F despite a 20–40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that may briefly interrupt insolation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 94°F but falls well below the September 2 record of 106°F set in 2000. Traders appear to weigh the stable multi-model agreement and recent similar late-August/early-September patterns against residual uncertainty in storm timing or intensity that could shave a degree or two from the maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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