Forecast consensus from the latest National Weather Service and global models points to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by cooler post-derecho air masses lingering after the August 11 event and moderating lake influences. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 76–79°F ranges, reflecting trader assessment of near-term model runs showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies rather than typical late-August peaks near 82°F normals. Key variables include potential afternoon lake breeze suppression of temperatures and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market, with traders monitoring updated short-range guidance for any upward revisions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 24?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 24?
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$208 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$380 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$328 ปริมาณ
7%
76-77°F
$1,433 ปริมาณ
52%
78-79°F
$222 ปริมาณ
37%
80-81°F
$266 ปริมาณ
6%
82-83°F
$143 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$83 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
88°F or higher
$165 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the latest National Weather Service and global models points to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by cooler post-derecho air masses lingering after the August 11 event and moderating lake influences. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 76–79°F ranges, reflecting trader assessment of near-term model runs showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies rather than typical late-August peaks near 82°F normals. Key variables include potential afternoon lake breeze suppression of temperatures and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market, with traders monitoring updated short-range guidance for any upward revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,504วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the latest National Weather Service and global models points to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by cooler post-derecho air masses lingering after the August 11 event and moderating lake influences. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 76–79°F ranges, reflecting trader assessment of near-term model runs showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies rather than typical late-August peaks near 82°F normals. Key variables include potential afternoon lake breeze suppression of temperatures and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market, with traders monitoring updated short-range guidance for any upward revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,504วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the latest National Weather Service and global models points to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by cooler post-derecho air masses lingering after the August 11 event and moderating lake influences. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 76–79°F ranges, reflecting trader assessment of near-term model runs showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies rather than typical late-August peaks near 82°F normals. Key variables include potential afternoon lake breeze suppression of temperatures and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market, with traders monitoring updated short-range guidance for any upward revisions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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