Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate the primary driver of market odds for Chicago’s August 24 low is radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northwest-to-variable winds, with dew points near 52–55°F supporting upper-50s readings at O’Hare. Recent northerly flow has produced consecutive nights in the upper 50s to low 60s, aligning with climatological norms for late August. The near-even split between 56–57°F and 58–59°F bins reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, while the 26.5% on 47°F or below captures tail-risk from stronger cooling if winds remain calm longer than expected. Updated NWS point forecasts and overnight observations will refine resolution criteria before the daily minimum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chicago on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 24?
47°F or below 70%
66°F or higher 49%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 34%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
47°F or below
70%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
34%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
49%
47°F or below 70%
66°F or higher 49%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 34%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
47°F or below
$12 ปริมาณ
70%
48-49°F
$55 ปริมาณ
7%
50-51°F
$55 ปริมาณ
15%
52-53°F
$885 ปริมาณ
16%
54-55°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
56-57°F
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
58-59°F
$5 ปริมาณ
34%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
64-65°F
$90 ปริมาณ
1%
66°F or higher
$85 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate the primary driver of market odds for Chicago’s August 24 low is radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northwest-to-variable winds, with dew points near 52–55°F supporting upper-50s readings at O’Hare. Recent northerly flow has produced consecutive nights in the upper 50s to low 60s, aligning with climatological norms for late August. The near-even split between 56–57°F and 58–59°F bins reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, while the 26.5% on 47°F or below captures tail-risk from stronger cooling if winds remain calm longer than expected. Updated NWS point forecasts and overnight observations will refine resolution criteria before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,187วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate the primary driver of market odds for Chicago’s August 24 low is radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northwest-to-variable winds, with dew points near 52–55°F supporting upper-50s readings at O’Hare. Recent northerly flow has produced consecutive nights in the upper 50s to low 60s, aligning with climatological norms for late August. The near-even split between 56–57°F and 58–59°F bins reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, while the 26.5% on 47°F or below captures tail-risk from stronger cooling if winds remain calm longer than expected. Updated NWS point forecasts and overnight observations will refine resolution criteria before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,187วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate the primary driver of market odds for Chicago’s August 24 low is radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northwest-to-variable winds, with dew points near 52–55°F supporting upper-50s readings at O’Hare. Recent northerly flow has produced consecutive nights in the upper 50s to low 60s, aligning with climatological norms for late August. The near-even split between 56–57°F and 58–59°F bins reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, while the 26.5% on 47°F or below captures tail-risk from stronger cooling if winds remain calm longer than expected. Updated NWS point forecasts and overnight observations will refine resolution criteria before the daily minimum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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