Chongqing's June 15 maximum temperature market shows tight clustering around 30–32°C because short-range models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently project a high near 32°C under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Primary drivers include the East Asian monsoon delivering moisture that favors afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers, which cap daytime heating, while the city’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes local heat retention and urban warming. Historical June climatology places average highs between 27–33°C with occasional peaks above 35°C on clear days, but current guidance indicates modest instability that limits extremes. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall amounts, keeping the 30°C and 31°C bins nearly as probable as 32°C and explaining why higher outcomes stay below 10% implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?
31°C 25%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
8%
29°C
14%
30°C
24%
31°C
25%
32°C
20%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 25%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
$1,679 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C
$547 ปริมาณ
14%
30°C
$436 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$469 ปริมาณ
25%
32°C
$702 ปริมาณ
20%
33°C
$713 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$622 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$497 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$845 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$650 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's June 15 maximum temperature market shows tight clustering around 30–32°C because short-range models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently project a high near 32°C under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Primary drivers include the East Asian monsoon delivering moisture that favors afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers, which cap daytime heating, while the city’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes local heat retention and urban warming. Historical June climatology places average highs between 27–33°C with occasional peaks above 35°C on clear days, but current guidance indicates modest instability that limits extremes. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall amounts, keeping the 30°C and 31°C bins nearly as probable as 32°C and explaining why higher outcomes stay below 10% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,341วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's June 15 maximum temperature market shows tight clustering around 30–32°C because short-range models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently project a high near 32°C under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Primary drivers include the East Asian monsoon delivering moisture that favors afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers, which cap daytime heating, while the city’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes local heat retention and urban warming. Historical June climatology places average highs between 27–33°C with occasional peaks above 35°C on clear days, but current guidance indicates modest instability that limits extremes. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall amounts, keeping the 30°C and 31°C bins nearly as probable as 32°C and explaining why higher outcomes stay below 10% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,341วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing's June 15 maximum temperature market shows tight clustering around 30–32°C because short-range models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently project a high near 32°C under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Primary drivers include the East Asian monsoon delivering moisture that favors afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers, which cap daytime heating, while the city’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes local heat retention and urban warming. Historical June climatology places average highs between 27–33°C with occasional peaks above 35°C on clear days, but current guidance indicates modest instability that limits extremes. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall amounts, keeping the 30°C and 31°C bins nearly as probable as 32°C and explaining why higher outcomes stay below 10% implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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