Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily maximum of around 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with isolated showers and an active very hot weather warning, consistent with a persistent heatwave that recently produced readings up to 34.7°C. This narrow 33–35°C range, set against August climatological averages near 31–32°C and long-term warming trends, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 34°C as the resolution outcome at the official station. Stronger or earlier shower activity could suppress the peak toward 33°C, while prolonged clear skies might push readings higher; updated model runs and real-time observations will determine the final official maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$201,158 ปริมาณ
$201,158 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$201,158 ปริมาณ
$201,158 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
$1,194 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,260 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$6,308 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$5,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$29,063 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$34,371 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$42,727 ปริมาณ
100%
35°C
$33,923 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$33,031 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$11,451 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$2,444 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily maximum of around 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with isolated showers and an active very hot weather warning, consistent with a persistent heatwave that recently produced readings up to 34.7°C. This narrow 33–35°C range, set against August climatological averages near 31–32°C and long-term warming trends, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 34°C as the resolution outcome at the official station. Stronger or earlier shower activity could suppress the peak toward 33°C, while prolonged clear skies might push readings higher; updated model runs and real-time observations will determine the final official maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$201,158วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily maximum of around 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with isolated showers and an active very hot weather warning, consistent with a persistent heatwave that recently produced readings up to 34.7°C. This narrow 33–35°C range, set against August climatological averages near 31–32°C and long-term warming trends, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 34°C as the resolution outcome at the official station. Stronger or earlier shower activity could suppress the peak toward 33°C, while prolonged clear skies might push readings higher; updated model runs and real-time observations will determine the final official maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$201,158วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily maximum of around 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with isolated showers and an active very hot weather warning, consistent with a persistent heatwave that recently produced readings up to 34.7°C. This narrow 33–35°C range, set against August climatological averages near 31–32°C and long-term warming trends, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 34°C as the resolution outcome at the official station. Stronger or earlier shower activity could suppress the peak toward 33°C, while prolonged clear skies might push readings higher; updated model runs and real-time observations will determine the final official maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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