Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 ปริมาณ
$292,433 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 ปริมาณ
$292,433 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$2,551 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$3,480 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$3,250 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$3,799 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$5,477 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$30,336 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$69,254 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$89,457 ปริมาณ
100%
28°C
$45,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,841 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$292,433วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$292,433วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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