Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on May 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
88°F or higher 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$36,831 ปริมาณ
$36,831 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
Yes
88°F or higher 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$36,831 ปริมาณ
$36,831 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
69°F or below
$2,386 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$4,319 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$3,797 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$3,568 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$3,352 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$1,024 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$1,380 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$2,555 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$4,644 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$4,135 ปริมาณ
No
88°F or higher
$5,670 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,831วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,831วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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