Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System align on a daytime peak of 22°C for Istanbul on May 17, matching the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C under moderate southeasterly flow. This model consensus, reinforced by stable high-pressure conditions and limited moisture, underpins the market’s 99.8% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Traders interpret the tight clustering around this value as reflecting high-confidence observational data from official sources like NOAA at Istanbul Airport. A modest shift in steering patterns or an unexpected convective burst could still push readings to 23°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability based on current guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 17?
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$58,345 ปริมาณ
$58,345 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$58,345 ปริมาณ
$58,345 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$552 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$2,271 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$13,506 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$2,184 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$5,050 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$4,667 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$3,675 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$2,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$7,383 ปริมาณ
100%
23°C
$5,601 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$11,068 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System align on a daytime peak of 22°C for Istanbul on May 17, matching the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C under moderate southeasterly flow. This model consensus, reinforced by stable high-pressure conditions and limited moisture, underpins the market’s 99.8% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Traders interpret the tight clustering around this value as reflecting high-confidence observational data from official sources like NOAA at Istanbul Airport. A modest shift in steering patterns or an unexpected convective burst could still push readings to 23°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,345วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System align on a daytime peak of 22°C for Istanbul on May 17, matching the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C under moderate southeasterly flow. This model consensus, reinforced by stable high-pressure conditions and limited moisture, underpins the market’s 99.8% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Traders interpret the tight clustering around this value as reflecting high-confidence observational data from official sources like NOAA at Istanbul Airport. A modest shift in steering patterns or an unexpected convective burst could still push readings to 23°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,345วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System align on a daytime peak of 22°C for Istanbul on May 17, matching the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C under moderate southeasterly flow. This model consensus, reinforced by stable high-pressure conditions and limited moisture, underpins the market’s 99.8% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Traders interpret the tight clustering around this value as reflecting high-confidence observational data from official sources like NOAA at Istanbul Airport. A modest shift in steering patterns or an unexpected convective burst could still push readings to 23°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability based on current guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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