National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 84–85°F in Miami today, with partly cloudy skies and a moderating sea breeze limiting further warming in the subtropical environment. This positions the 84–85°F bracket as the leading outcome at 52.5% market-implied probability, followed by 86–87°F at 27.0%, reflecting consensus that typical May conditions—average highs around 85°F—will prevail without significant heat advection. Recent model runs show stable atmospheric patterns with no incoming warm fronts or reduced cloud cover that could push temperatures into the upper 80s, while historical analogs confirm May extremes rarely exceed 88°F absent unusual synoptic setups. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observations at Miami International Airport for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on May 17?
84-85°F 57%
86-87°F 37%
82-83°F 11.9%
88-89°F 6.2%
$72,834 ปริมาณ
$72,834 ปริมาณ
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
57%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 57%
86-87°F 37%
82-83°F 11.9%
88-89°F 6.2%
$72,834 ปริมาณ
$72,834 ปริมาณ
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
57%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 84–85°F in Miami today, with partly cloudy skies and a moderating sea breeze limiting further warming in the subtropical environment. This positions the 84–85°F bracket as the leading outcome at 52.5% market-implied probability, followed by 86–87°F at 27.0%, reflecting consensus that typical May conditions—average highs around 85°F—will prevail without significant heat advection. Recent model runs show stable atmospheric patterns with no incoming warm fronts or reduced cloud cover that could push temperatures into the upper 80s, while historical analogs confirm May extremes rarely exceed 88°F absent unusual synoptic setups. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observations at Miami International Airport for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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