Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models place Miami's high temperature on May 18 in the mid-to-upper 80s, with consensus around 86–88°F under typical late-spring subtropical conditions featuring sea-breeze moderation and light easterly flow. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probabilities for the 86–87°F and 88–89°F ranges, as historical May averages near 85°F and recent model runs show limited deviation absent any strong frontal systems. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty window—driven by potential afternoon convection—against stable atmospheric patterns observed in the past week. Final official readings from Miami International Airport will resolve the market on May 19.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on May 18?
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 10%
90-91°F 8%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 10%
90-91°F 8%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models place Miami's high temperature on May 18 in the mid-to-upper 80s, with consensus around 86–88°F under typical late-spring subtropical conditions featuring sea-breeze moderation and light easterly flow. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probabilities for the 86–87°F and 88–89°F ranges, as historical May averages near 85°F and recent model runs show limited deviation absent any strong frontal systems. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty window—driven by potential afternoon convection—against stable atmospheric patterns observed in the past week. Final official readings from Miami International Airport will resolve the market on May 19.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย