Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will most likely fall in the 20–23 °C range, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover and timing of any thundery showers, which reduce surface heating and cap temperatures near 21 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger solar insolation and push readings toward 23 °C. Regional pressure gradients and low-level moisture advection from the south further modulate boundary-layer warmth, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 22 °C. Fresh model runs and satellite updates expected overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
22°C 30%
21°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
24%
22°C
30%
23°C
17%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 30%
21°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
$303 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$501 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$351 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$459 ปริมาณ
7%
20°C
$151 ปริมาณ
18%
21°C
$120 ปริมาณ
24%
22°C
$169 ปริมาณ
30%
23°C
$238 ปริมาณ
17%
24°C
$571 ปริมาณ
7%
25°C
$1,357 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C or higher
$529 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will most likely fall in the 20–23 °C range, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover and timing of any thundery showers, which reduce surface heating and cap temperatures near 21 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger solar insolation and push readings toward 23 °C. Regional pressure gradients and low-level moisture advection from the south further modulate boundary-layer warmth, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 22 °C. Fresh model runs and satellite updates expected overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,560วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will most likely fall in the 20–23 °C range, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover and timing of any thundery showers, which reduce surface heating and cap temperatures near 21 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger solar insolation and push readings toward 23 °C. Regional pressure gradients and low-level moisture advection from the south further modulate boundary-layer warmth, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 22 °C. Fresh model runs and satellite updates expected overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,560วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will most likely fall in the 20–23 °C range, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover and timing of any thundery showers, which reduce surface heating and cap temperatures near 21 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger solar insolation and push readings toward 23 °C. Regional pressure gradients and low-level moisture advection from the south further modulate boundary-layer warmth, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 22 °C. Fresh model runs and satellite updates expected overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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